NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	112		Excitement	11.3 [34]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +51.0%
Orlando Magic	116		Comeback	10.7 [209]		LVP	Derrick Rose (DET): -64.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0.47	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47	0.20	0.33	0.06	14	72%	0.47	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34	0.01	0.31	-0.02	11	50%	0.35	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	8	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	6	53%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.04	0.13	-0.06	0.03	7	100%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.01	9	82%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
John Henson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	16	37%	-0.06	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.65	-0.23	-0.43	-0.01	13	8%	-0.43	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.15	0.36	0.00	15	69%	0.53	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.35	0.12	14	65%	0.35	0	0.00	6	83%	0.09
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17	0.17	-0.03	0.21	0.01	21	45%	0.26	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	6	92%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	0.07	-0.09	0.04	13	63%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	12	21%	-0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.4	14.5	24.2	1.7	38.3	2.6	14.3	146.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +11.3%

ORL +14.2%

ORL +0.2%

ORL +34.7%

DET -10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.2	100.9	105.5	109.6
season	15.1	14.7		108.3	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.2		108.9	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	15.0	14.2	15.3	15.4	15.2	15.0
ORL	12.7	13.0	14.7	15.9	11.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	71	72	0.68	-1.18	1.86	0.18	17	-21	38	16.1	13.0	3.09	14.4	12.7	1.70
Svi Mykhailiuk	39	38	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.31	3	-7	10	13.5	15.8	-2.37	13.9	13.7	0.23
Thon Maker	53	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-4	4	16.0	14.1	1.88	15.6	12.2	3.42
John Henson	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	12.4	15.5	-3.06	11.4	14.2	-2.86
Sekou Doumbouya	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	9	-22	13.6	15.6	-1.98	12.0	14.5	-2.54
Bruce Brown	52	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.50	0	-4	4	15.4	14.6	0.80	14.2	13.3	0.91
Langston Galloway	65	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	8	-20	14.4	15.8	-1.45	13.1	14.7	-1.62
Tony Snell	67	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.65	-4	0	-4	16.0	13.5	2.52	14.0	13.5	0.49
Derrick Rose	39	39	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.38	-16	12	-28	13.2	16.0	-2.73	12.6	14.4	-1.83
Christian Wood	76	77	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.62	-12	8	-20	16.1	12.7	3.38	13.4	14.6	-1.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	79	81	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.73	5	-1	6	14.2	12.7	1.44	16.0	12.4	3.56
Terrence Ross	74	75	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.56	10	-6	16	13.4	14.5	-1.04	15.0	15.0	0.00
Markelle Fultz	80	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.56	6	-2	8	13.7	14.0	-0.27	15.9	12.8	3.12
Aaron Gordon	85	86	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-1	6	14.0	13.0	0.95	16.3	10.6	5.68
Evan Fournier	77	78	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	9	-14	14.4	12.2	2.19	15.9	12.9	3.02
Gary Clark	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.13	-1	5	-6	13.0	14.0	-0.95	10.6	16.3	-5.68
Khem Birch	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	2	0	13.1	14.0	-0.93	12.4	16.0	-3.56
Wes Iwundu	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	15.2	13.2	2.00	16.3	14.5	1.80
James Ennis III	34	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.30	6	-2	8	11.9	14.6	-2.65	12.9	15.9	-3.02
Michael Carter-Williams	34	36	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	-0.40	-6	10	-16	13.4	14.0	-0.61	11.9	16.5	-4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.36,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 115, IND 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.14,0.28,0.46,0.62,0.46,0.77,0.73,1	86.8%
PHX 121, LAC 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.57,1	86.7%
UTA 81, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.61,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.71,0.58,1	86.4%