inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 134 Excitement10.6 [55] MVPEric Paschall (GSW): +52.9%
Golden State Warriors 131 Comeback19.2 [127] LVPDamion Lee (GSW): -22.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.360.160.230.031078%0.3600.003100%0.04
Malik Beasley0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.280.210.140.071675%0.2800.004100%0.05
Mason Plumlee0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.2,0.160.010.150.00762%0.233-0.071070%-0.08
Will Barton0.150,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.150.18-0.010.022074%0.353-0.212100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.21,-0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06-0.120.16-0.032053%0.269-0.193100%0.06
Juancho Hernangomez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Monte Morris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00950%0.011-0.024100%0.02
PJ Dozier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.00933%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.060,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Paschall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.530.530.110.41-0.01776%0.551-0.027100%0.05
Glenn Robinson III0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.080.021077%0.222-0.042100%0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.00571%0.081-0.02450%-0.01
Draymond Green0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.040.04-0.030.05-0.02833%0.0400.002100%0.04
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.040.040.09-0.030.031466%0.124-0.091090%0.07
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01-0.021850%0.203-0.19250%-0.01
Jordan Poole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.03-0.00956%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Omari Spellman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marquese Chriss0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01450%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Damion Lee0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23-0.230.01-0.220.021755%-0.173-0.064100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.43.327.616.327.32.737.82.719.3164.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.4%
GSW -9.7%
DEN +10.8%
DEN +7.7%
DEN +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game13.814.114.2118.6113.9109.6
season15.014.1112.0103.9
opponent14.314.5112.8110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN15.014.712.813.412.313.8
GSW11.614.714.916.611.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley84870.89-0.391.280.2223-204312.915.9-2.9714.412.71.71
Michael Porter Jr.66650.76-0.261.020.4411-81912.914.8-1.8713.814.1-0.32
Will Barton90930.73-0.230.950.4011-81913.913.10.7914.312.41.93
Nikola Jokic91930.71-0.210.920.1818-153314.012.51.4914.910.24.70
Mason Plumlee60600.420.080.340.54-47-1113.414.0-0.5513.514.4-0.95
Juancho Hernangomez1313-0.110.61-0.730.03-58-1313.213.8-0.6310.514.4-3.83
Monte Morris5356-0.170.67-0.83-0.02-58-1314.612.91.6713.914.0-0.16
Jerami Grant5758-0.230.73-0.950.01-811-1914.113.40.7214.113.80.33
Torrey Craig3737-0.240.74-0.990.20-1518-3315.412.92.5512.614.6-2.01
PJ Dozier1918-0.260.76-1.020.06-1114-2511.914.1-2.1212.114.3-2.16

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Paschall42380.23-0.730.950.55-118-1914.513.60.9514.013.60.39
Jordan Poole27280.12-0.620.750.043-6912.214.5-2.2412.814.0-1.23
Glenn Robinson III62630.12-0.620.740.15-1-2115.112.62.5514.512.81.71
Marquese Chriss26270.11-0.610.720.023-6912.614.3-1.7112.614.1-1.51
Omari Spellman3939-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-2113.114.4-1.2612.914.1-1.20
Alec Burks7370-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.498-111913.015.6-2.6113.114.7-1.54
Draymond Green7978-0.500.00-0.50-0.624-71113.914.1-0.2513.514.1-0.63
Damion Lee8384-0.530.03-0.55-0.737-101713.514.9-1.4013.514.3-0.75
Willie Cauley-Stein6967-0.770.27-1.03-0.33-1512-2715.312.03.3314.712.32.37
D'Angelo Russell8076-1.010.51-1.52-0.66-129-2114.313.11.2414.212.71.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.67,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.16,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.34,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 112, MIL 1060.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.78,0.77,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.22,0.01,089.4%
MIN 113, DAL 1100.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.16,089.3%
DEN 113, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.02,088.4%