NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	7.9 [294]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +21.2%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	3.9 [439]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -14.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	11	71%	0.28	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Georges Niang	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	7	79%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.11	0.01	13	54%	0.24	5	-0.18	9	100%	0.11
Tony Bradley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	14	55%	0.04	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.14	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	26%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	26	45%	-0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	24.8	14.8	31.2	1.8	33.1	132.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +60.7%

UTA +18.2%

CHI -2.7%

CHI -25.5%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	14.2	108.5	103.2	109.6
season	14.9	14.1		112.1	105.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		108.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	16.8	13.7	17.0	15.7
CHI	13.6	15.1	14.6	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	36	35	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-15	34	15.1	16.1	-1.07	14.4	15.0	-0.54
Donovan Mitchell	73	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	15.7	15.8	-0.06	15.1	13.4	1.70
Emmanuel Mudiay	36	34	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	-1	6	15.0	16.1	-1.11	13.4	15.5	-2.07
Tony Bradley	25	25	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	-4	12	16.1	15.6	0.55	15.4	14.5	0.86
Jordan Clarkson	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	0	4	15.9	15.5	0.42	15.0	14.6	0.39
Joe Ingles	66	68	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	3	-2	15.9	15.2	0.71	15.0	14.1	0.87
Rudy Gobert	69	70	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	8	-12	15.6	16.1	-0.55	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Bojan Bogdanovic	66	66	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	12	-20	15.8	15.5	0.25	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Royce O'Neale	54	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	14	-24	16.1	15.2	0.89	15.2	14.2	1.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	72	69	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-13	22	14.7	15.0	-0.31	15.9	15.2	0.75
Zach LaVine	78	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.39	11	-15	26	14.1	17.7	-3.58	15.7	15.6	0.19
Lauri Markkanen	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-11	18	14.3	15.6	-1.24	15.8	15.5	0.32
Denzel Valentine	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	15.4	14.7	0.71	16.5	15.6	0.90
Tomas Satoransky	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-8	12	14.4	15.6	-1.14	15.7	15.7	0.01
Shaquille Harrison	21	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	16.5	14.3	2.25	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Kris Dunn	60	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-2	0	14.8	14.7	0.04	16.1	15.1	1.04
Thaddeus Young	32	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	7	-18	15.6	14.3	1.24	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Daniel Gafford	23	25	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	9	-22	15.0	14.7	0.31	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Coby White	46	47	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	11	-26	15.3	14.2	1.12	15.0	16.4	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	92.1%
LAL 124, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%
LAL 118, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.0%