NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	7.8 [316]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +46.1%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	525.3 [3]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -33.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.17	0.03	0.29	0.14	15	51%	0.23	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.09
Dwight Powell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	9	74%	0.12	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Ryan Broekhoff	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	55%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	100%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.24,-0.09	0.10	-0.18	0.01	14	68%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Seth Curry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	7	7%	-0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.33	-0.11	-0.21	0.01	19	40%	-0.10	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.46	0.46	0.18	0.28	0.00	23	64%	0.48	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.21	0.08	12	58%	0.25	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.04
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.09	4	82%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.15	-0.07	13	31%	-0.03	4	-0.21	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	25.8	14.8	26.3	2.3	45.5	141.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.9%

DAL -27.3%

TOR +22.2%

TOR +6.2%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	TOR	NBA	DAL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	14.2	104.9	107.8	109.6
season	14.5	14.0		115.2	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		104.2	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	16.2	13.6	14.2	14.4
TOR	12.7	15.8	15.2	11.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	66	68	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.04	15	-18	33	13.5	16.0	-2.45	14.1	13.3	0.75
Ryan Broekhoff	38	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.31	-8	5	-13	14.5	14.4	0.10	13.3	14.1	-0.79
Maxi Kleber	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.24	-7	4	-11	14.5	14.4	0.15	13.3	14.0	-0.74
Boban Marjanovic	4	4	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	17.2	14.3	2.95	16.7	13.7	3.05
Delon Wright	37	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	14	-31	16.1	13.4	2.66	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Kristaps Porzingis	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.87	13	-16	29	14.6	13.9	0.67	14.0	13.4	0.59
Seth Curry	42	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	10	-23	13.8	14.9	-1.10	13.1	14.3	-1.11
Tim Hardaway Jr.	73	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.70	5	-8	13	14.6	13.9	0.72	14.0	13.2	0.79
Jalen Brunson	75	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.51	-2	-1	-1	14.0	15.4	-1.40	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.55	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.3	0.19	14.1	13.2	0.88

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Davis	47	47	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.09	30	-27	57	12.9	14.6	-1.65	15.4	13.5	1.88
Chris Boucher	50	51	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.24	22	-19	41	13.3	14.3	-1.03	14.5	14.3	0.27
Malcolm Miller	36	36	0.82	-0.32	1.15	-0.03	29	-26	55	12.7	14.5	-1.79	15.9	13.6	2.33
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	61	62	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.26	18	-15	33	13.1	14.8	-1.68	14.8	13.8	0.97
Kyle Lowry	89	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.1	16.5	-2.44
Fred VanVleet	60	59	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.34	-19	22	-41	14.2	13.3	0.95	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Serge Ibaka	52	52	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.19	-19	22	-41	14.3	13.3	1.03	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Patrick McCaw	54	53	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.27	-24	27	-51	14.9	12.7	2.19	14.0	14.9	-0.94
OG Anunoby	61	61	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.29	-27	30	-57	14.6	12.6	2.03	14.1	14.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 119, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.26,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.8,0.91,1	90.1%
DEN 105, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.92,1	88.6%
WAS 94, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.33,0.38,0.64,0.85,0.98,1	88.6%