NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	7.9 [292]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +40.4%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	2.6 [477]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -13.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.4	0.20	0.23	0.03	21	68%	0.47	2	-0.07	14	86%	0.08
Tobias Harris	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.15	-0.00	20	53%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	7	107%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	11	58%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	0.01	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.13	0.00	13	77%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.08	-0.05	11	70%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.05	0.02	21	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	16	56%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	18	39%	0.02	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	31.7	16.3	26.6	3.4	40.6	148.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.7%

PHI +16.8%

PHI +17.0%

BOS -14.6%

PHI +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.2	121.1	117.2	109.6
season	14.8	14.5		110.0	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.1		105.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	17.0	15.2	13.5	15.5
BOS	14.0	17.3	14.8	14.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	74	73	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.20	21	-15	36	14.2	19.9	-5.70	15.5	14.0	1.49
Matisse Thybulle	63	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-3	12	14.8	16.7	-1.89	14.2	17.0	-2.83
Mike Scott	59	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-11	28	14.7	16.7	-1.98	15.4	14.8	0.64
Tobias Harris	62	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	8	-10	16.7	13.1	3.63	15.4	14.8	0.55
Ben Simmons	72	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	15.6	15.1	0.50	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Raul Neto	23	23	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-2	10	15.1	15.6	-0.50	15.5	15.1	0.46
Josh Richardson	52	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.34	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	17	17	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	3	0	11.4	16.3	-4.93	16.4	14.9	1.45
James Ennis III	32	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	16	-26	18.1	14.1	3.92	15.6	14.9	0.72
Kyle O'Quinn	21	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.13	-15	21	-36	19.9	14.2	5.70	14.0	15.5	-1.49

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-6	6	13.5	15.4	-1.84	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Enes Kanter	51	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-9	12	14.5	16.0	-1.42	13.3	18.1	-4.76
Brad Wanamaker	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.2	-0.05	15.5	15.5	0.01
Kemba Walker	70	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-8	10	15.1	15.5	-0.46	15.8	14.5	1.28
Semi Ojeleye	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.9	16.0	-1.04
Jayson Tatum	66	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.7	-0.75	14.9	16.9	-1.99
Gordon Hayward	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	15.6	14.0	1.56	16.2	13.3	2.85
Daniel Theis	42	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	3	-12	16.0	14.5	1.42	18.1	13.3	4.76
Jaylen Brown	79	82	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	8	-22	15.4	13.9	1.55	15.4	15.7	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.41,0.28,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0	92.9%
ATL 118, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.9%
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	92.5%