NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	8.4 [230]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +56.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Comeback	12.0 [287]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.57	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.4,0.56,0.57	0.31	0.29	0.04	34	75%	0.79	6	-0.22	5	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Clemons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04	-0.06	0.07	-0.02	8	44%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.09	0.02	-0.13	-0.02	20	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.56,0.52	0.52	0.16	0.34	-0.02	15	80%	0.56	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.07	0.03	14	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	0.02	14	55%	-0.00	3	-0.13	3	33%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.13	-0.13	0.04	-0.18	-0.01	16	53%	0.05	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	10	50%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	0.1	25.5	14.6	24.2	1.8	34.2	124.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.9%

HOU +7.2%

CLE -20.3%

HOU +42.1%

HOU +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	14.2	122.1	115.8	109.6
season	13.4	15.1		111.2	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.4		114.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	11.7	14.4	16.1	14.3	13.9
CLE	14.0	16.2	18.2	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	76	75	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-8	22	13.9	14.1	-0.13	16.3	16.6	-0.29
James Harden	83	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-4	14	14.2	12.4	1.75	16.3	16.8	-0.55
Ben McLemore	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	2	2	13.8	14.2	-0.36	17.5	14.2	3.40
Russell Westbrook	76	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	13.6	15.2	-1.51	15.2	20.5	-5.33
P.J. Tucker	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	13.7	14.5	-0.78	15.9	17.7	-1.78
Gary Clark	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	13.1	14.2	-1.03	17.6	16.0	1.54
Danuel House Jr.	52	54	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	5	-4	14.4	13.3	1.09	15.9	16.9	-0.98
Thabo Sefolosha	19	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	15.2	13.6	1.51	18.5	15.8	2.70
Chris Clemons	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	13.8	14.0	-0.22	17.1	16.2	0.91

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	25	23	0.72	-1.22	1.94	0.22	17	-23	40	16.4	16.3	0.10	15.1	13.6	1.50
Matthew Dellavedova	31	29	0.62	-1.12	1.75	0.24	13	-19	32	17.4	15.9	1.56	14.9	13.5	1.42
Larry Nance Jr.	32	31	0.61	-1.11	1.72	0.23	13	-19	32	17.5	15.8	1.75	15.3	13.3	1.95
Kevin Porter Jr.	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-11	16	17.8	14.4	3.39	14.4	13.4	0.97
Jordan Clarkson	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-11	16	17.8	14.4	3.39	14.4	13.4	0.97
Cedi Osman	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	5	-16	14.4	17.8	-3.39	13.4	14.4	-0.97
Darius Garland	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	6	-18	15.2	17.4	-2.19	13.3	14.6	-1.33
Collin Sexton	59	61	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.56	-18	12	-30	15.4	18.0	-2.67	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Tristan Thompson	67	70	-1.14	0.64	-1.78	-0.58	-19	13	-32	16.1	17.1	-1.05	13.5	15.2	-1.75
Kevin Love	66	66	-1.19	0.69	-1.87	-0.51	-23	17	-40	16.1	17.0	-0.91	13.4	15.1	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.52,0.79,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	88.5%
CHI 92, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.46,0.71,0.67,0.28,0	88.5%
DEN 94, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.53,0.76,0.54,0.33,0.15,0	88.3%