NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	9.1 [169]		MVP	Glenn Robinson III (GSW): +23.3%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	5.5 [164]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -40.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson III	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.01	12	77%	0.30	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Paschall	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	67%	0.19	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.08
Ky Bowman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	86%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	6	45%	-0.00	4	-0.18	8	62%	-0.12
D'Angelo Russell	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.31	-0.10	-0.21	-0.00	8	39%	-0.23	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	10	70%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	8	69%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.15	0.00	17	59%	0.06	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.15	-0.02	11	41%	-0.07	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.13,-0.4	-0.40	-0.03	-0.38	-0.00	20	51%	-0.22	5	-0.18	3	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	23.5	15.3	25.1	1.8	29.2	121.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.1%

GSW +17.8%

GSW +5.4%

CHI -12.2%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	14.2	104.2	105.4	109.6
season	14.1	14.1		103.9	105.3
opponent	14.4	14.3		108.2	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.7	15.0	16.2	13.9	14.9
CHI	14.7	16.3	14.4	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	64	62	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.42	14	-12	26	15.0	14.9	0.05	15.9	14.9	0.92
Alec Burks	58	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-8	18	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Glenn Robinson III	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.62	-5	7	-12	15.0	14.8	0.26	15.8	15.0	0.82
Draymond Green	60	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.55	-6	8	-14	15.0	14.9	0.08	15.7	15.3	0.47
D'Angelo Russell	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.57	-7	9	-16	15.2	14.6	0.58	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Willie Cauley-Stein	46	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-4	10	15.1	14.8	0.37	16.4	14.5	1.90
Omari Spellman	26	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	-5	12	14.6	15.1	-0.49	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Ky Bowman	44	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	0	2	14.3	15.5	-1.14	15.8	15.4	0.43
Marquese Chriss	32	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.11	1	1	0	14.9	15.0	-0.05	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Kevon Looney	14	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	8	-14	14.6	15.0	-0.34	15.6	15.5	0.06
Jordan Poole	13	11	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.08	-6	8	-14	15.3	14.9	0.43	11.3	16.1	-4.85

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	12	15	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.08	3	-5	8	13.2	15.9	-2.73	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Ryan Arcidiacono	30	32	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	2	-6	15.5	15.6	-0.12	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Denzel Valentine	27	29	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	2	-6	15.0	15.8	-0.82	14.8	15.0	-0.26
Wendell Carter Jr.	67	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-7	12	15.8	15.0	0.76	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Luke Kornet	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	3	-8	16.9	15.4	1.54	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Kris Dunn	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-10	18	15.6	15.5	0.10	15.4	14.3	1.09
Coby White	37	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	8	-18	15.5	15.6	-0.10	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Daniel Gafford	26	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	5	-12	15.0	15.8	-0.76	15.3	14.8	0.50
Zach LaVine	66	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.56	2	-4	6	15.8	15.0	0.82	15.0	14.8	0.26
Tomas Satoransky	63	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.57	2	-4	6	15.6	15.5	0.12	15.0	14.9	0.09
Lauri Markkanen	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-2	2	15.7	15.0	0.79	15.2	14.3	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.15,0	91.2%
PHI 88, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.76,0.42,0	91.0%
CHI 88, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	90.9%