NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	8.4 [203]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (MEM): +42.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	3.5 [155]		LVP	Darrell Arthur (MEM): -45.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.39	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.28,0.39	0.06	0.33	0.01	12	59%	0.44	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	78%	0.24	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.03	10	80%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	69%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	7	64%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.42	0.42	0.17	0.25	-0.00	15	85%	0.52	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	16	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	42%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.16	0.02	11	36%	-0.15	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.43,-0.46	-0.46	-0.12	-0.34	0.00	10	18%	-0.30	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	26.4	15.4	25.2	0.6	43.6	138.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.1%

PHX +10.7%

PHX +11.1%

MEM -7.5%

MEM -8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.4	103.2	98.9	104.1
season	15.2	16.5		99.7	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	14.9	16.7	14.0	15.2
MEM	17.8	15.1	17.6	14.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	47	48	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-6	18	14.7	15.8	-1.17	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Jermaine O'Neal	50	49	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	15.0	15.6	-0.60	14.9	17.4	-2.47
Kendall Marshall	65	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	1	4	15.2	15.2	-0.02	15.6	17.0	-1.38
PJ Tucker	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	3	0	14.8	15.9	-1.06	16.3	15.8	0.50
Marcin Gortat	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	7	-8	15.1	15.4	-0.29	15.9	16.4	-0.57
Markieff Morris	44	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	2	2	15.4	15.1	0.28	16.7	15.6	1.10
Shannon Brown	37	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	5	-4	15.2	15.2	0.01	17.3	15.3	2.08
Jared Dudley	32	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.10	0	6	-6	15.4	15.1	0.26	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Luis Scola	35	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	9	-12	15.6	15.0	0.63	17.3	15.3	2.01
Michael Beasley	39	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	9	-12	16.4	14.4	1.98	16.3	15.9	0.33

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	6	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-5	4	16.2	16.1	0.10	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Ed Davis	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-8	10	15.7	16.2	-0.43	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Mike Conley	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-14	22	15.8	17.0	-1.25	16.0	12.8	3.20
Tayshaun Prince	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-9	12	15.8	17.0	-1.14	15.8	13.6	2.22
Marc Gasol	40	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	7	-20	17.4	15.0	2.45	15.4	15.1	0.34
Zach Randolph	74	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-10	14	15.8	17.3	-1.50	15.4	14.6	0.79
Tony Allen	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	6	-18	17.2	14.1	3.13	14.4	16.7	-2.32
Darrell Arthur	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	15.5	16.7	-1.23	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Austin Daye	14	14	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	7	-20	17.4	15.8	1.60	12.1	15.8	-3.73
Jerryd Bayless	55	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-3	0	15.2	17.4	-2.22	15.4	14.9	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 99, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	92.2%
DET 92, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	91.9%
BOS 111, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.18,0	91.6%