NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	9.4 [125]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): +42.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	20.1 [148]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (NOP): -19.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.42,0.42	0.11	0.34	0.02	8	100%	0.50	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.03	30	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	18	62%	0.39	5	-0.34	11	64%	0.02
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	8	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	12	64%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.07
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolo Melli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	0.02	-0.22	-0.02	23	62%	0.07	7	-0.25	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	21	42%	-0.12	3	-0.07	13	100%	0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	29.7	14.7	35.6	3.5	47.2	158.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +90.5%

NOP -26.7%

NOP -9.4%

NOP -6.7%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.2	111.8	106.8	109.6
season	14.2	13.4		111.8	109.9
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	16.6	14.1	13.5	14.3
NOP	12.6	15.4	13.1	14.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	52	52	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.30	23	-19	42	13.9	14.8	-0.95	15.1	12.4	2.72
LeBron James	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	1	2	14.5	13.6	0.89	13.8	13.6	0.17
Dwight Howard	45	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-5	14	15.7	13.3	2.43	15.1	12.7	2.39
Kyle Kuzma	52	50	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	-4	12	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.5	13.0	1.50
Anthony Davis	82	83	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.43	-6	10	-16	13.8	16.3	-2.51	12.8	17.8	-5.07
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.52	-11	15	-26	14.4	14.2	0.20	12.1	16.5	-4.42
Troy Daniels	23	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-4	12	12.8	14.8	-2.00	16.5	13.0	3.55
Rajon Rondo	38	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	4	-4	14.6	14.2	0.35	13.8	13.7	0.10
JaVale McGee	30	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	10	-16	13.8	14.5	-0.71	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Danny Green	44	44	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	12	-20	14.9	13.9	0.93	13.3	14.1	-0.78

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	75	74	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.19	17	-21	38	12.4	17.5	-5.13	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Jahlil Okafor	32	32	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-11	18	13.7	13.8	-0.12	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Jaxson Hayes	49	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-9	14	12.2	15.2	-2.98	14.2	14.5	-0.28
E'Twaun Moore	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	8	-20	17.0	12.7	4.38	14.4	14.3	0.09
Frank Jackson	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	7	-18	21.1	12.7	8.37	17.2	13.9	3.23
Jrue Holiday	90	89	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.46	7	-11	18	12.7	21.1	-8.37	13.9	17.2	-3.23
JJ Redick	77	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.49	8	-12	20	12.7	17.0	-4.38	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Nicolo Melli	15	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	8	-20	20.5	12.6	7.92	16.7	13.9	2.74
Brandon Ingram	86	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	1	-6	13.8	13.8	0.00	14.6	13.0	1.60
Josh Hart	52	52	-1.18	0.68	-1.86	-0.48	-24	20	-44	15.3	12.2	3.19	13.7	15.0	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	91.2%
SAS 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	90.5%
PHI 91, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.14,0.36,0.24,0.28,0	90.3%