inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 91 Excitement7.0 [417] MVPShawne Williams (MIA): +11.9%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback42.3 [11] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -29.8%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerami Grant0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.00752%0.0600.00757%-0.05
KJ McDaniels0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.03865%0.072-0.044100%0.02
JaKarr Sampson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01657%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.010.01-0.03-0.001856%0.113-0.1200%0.00
Henry Sims-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01657%0.043-0.072100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011653%0.083-0.11475%0.00
Robert Covington-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08-0.03-0.040.021142%-0.061-0.024100%0.05
Nerlens Noel-0.130,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.160.00-0.0457%-0.083-0.04425%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.120.120.150.010.04985%0.1200.002100%0.00
James Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.00650%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.0120%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00839%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.11-0.072147%-0.053-0.02771%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.04-0.02440%-0.032-0.0420%-0.02
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01743%0.013-0.1000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09-0.090.01-0.090.00455%-0.071-0.02367%-0.05
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2-0.20-0.11-0.13-0.041132%-0.153-0.0500%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.3-0.30-0.03-0.260.01861%-0.134-0.172100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.634.215.831.01.833.3142.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +45.7%
PHI +11.4%
MIA -6.0%
MIA -1.7%
PHI +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIMIANBAPHIMIANBA
this game14.616.215.196.893.5104.2
season14.916.094.3102.4
opponent15.314.8105.4103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI14.416.011.716.914.6
MIA15.015.315.420.116.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerami Grant48480.66-0.160.83-0.0725-214613.815.4-1.6218.114.23.97
Michael Carter-Williams87860.57-0.070.650.377-31014.712.62.1816.117.4-1.30
KJ McDaniels59580.53-0.030.550.2310-61614.015.6-1.6617.314.42.93
Luc Mbah a Moute75760.52-0.020.540.4040415.112.52.6515.917.5-1.60
Nerlens Noel59560.450.050.390.65-711-1814.614.6-0.0716.016.6-0.57
Henry Sims30300.040.46-0.42-0.0840414.314.7-0.4717.115.81.24
Robert Covington6870-0.020.52-0.540.21-812-2014.913.71.1815.319.0-3.74
JaKarr Sampson4441-0.250.75-1.000.19-1519-3414.814.40.4014.417.6-3.20

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawne Williams53530.16-0.660.81-0.2012-162814.818.1-3.3314.015.3-1.34
Chris Andersen38390.12-0.620.73-0.2914-183215.017.1-2.1216.313.42.90
Hassan Whiteside1110-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-3214.716.4-1.7015.714.51.25
Luol Deng6565-0.03-0.470.43-0.309-132216.016.8-0.8514.315.3-1.00
Dwyane Wade6867-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.22-2-2015.717.7-1.9914.415.0-0.58
Mario Chalmers7275-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.435-91416.614.81.8314.813.61.26
Udonis Haslem4848-0.40-0.10-0.310.01-1410-2417.714.63.1114.015.2-1.24
James Ennis2829-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.09-139-2216.816.00.8515.314.31.00
Norris Cole4040-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.07-1410-2416.416.10.2614.214.9-0.67
Danny Granger4244-0.810.31-1.11-0.34-1612-2817.914.92.9714.414.8-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.14,0.36,0.24,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 93, MIN 880.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,092.4%
PHX 103, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,092.1%
CLE 105, PHI 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.31,0.15,091.3%