NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	7.1 [316]		MVP	Brandon Rush (GSW): +39.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	17.0 [11]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -28.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.39,0.39	0.08	0.31	-0.01	17	56%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.02,0.13	0.08	0.08	0.02	5	75%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.10
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	22	55%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mickell Gladness	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	21	40%	-0.09	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.04	0.28	-0.05	13	61%	0.41	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	14	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.20	-0.00	10	50%	-0.17	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.23	-0.05	18	37%	-0.07	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.0	15.0	26.1	1.8	29.3	122.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +61.7%

MIN -31.8%

MIN -5.5%

GSW +23.3%

GSW +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.6	101.1	94.6	102.8
season	15.2	15.3		103.6	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.5	15.2	12.7	15.9	15.2
MIN	14.6	16.1	16.1	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	46	47	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.29	19	-14	33	14.9	15.6	-0.76	16.1	15.6	0.54
Dominic McGuire	60	62	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.18	22	-17	39	14.6	16.4	-1.77	16.4	14.8	1.56
Brandon Rush	65	66	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-11	27	14.9	16.1	-1.22	16.2	15.2	0.93
Klay Thompson	82	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	15.0	17.5	-2.52	16.1	13.7	2.44
Charles Jenkins	92	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	15.2	0.0	15.25	15.9	0.0	15.88
Mickell Gladness	23	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	18	-31	16.0	15.0	1.06	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Richard Jefferson	49	48	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	19	-33	16.3	14.0	2.35	14.9	16.9	-1.99
Jeremy Tyler	43	43	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.13	-18	23	-41	15.9	14.7	1.23	15.4	16.3	-0.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-15	25	15.3	16.4	-1.16	15.9	14.7	1.22
Derrick Williams	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.15	-10	5	-15	15.4	16.0	-0.65	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Wayne Ellington	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.8	15.4	-0.51
Anthony Randolph	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.41	6	-11	17	15.8	16.0	-0.22	15.6	14.3	1.30
Anthony Tolliver	29	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	6	-17	16.0	15.8	0.22	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Martell Webster	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-6	7	15.9	16.0	-0.09	15.4	14.8	0.51
Nikola Pekovic	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.50	5	-10	15	16.0	15.4	0.65	15.7	13.8	1.90
Michael Beasley	49	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	10	-25	16.4	15.3	1.16	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Jose Juan Barea	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.9	0.0	15.88	15.2	0.0	15.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	92.7%
PHI 91, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.14,0.36,0.24,0.28,0	92.4%
CLE 105, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.31,0.15,0	92.0%