NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	121		Excitement	5.8 [624]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): +34.7%
Orlando Magic	125		Comeback	1.2 [965]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (ORL): -7.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	10	91%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.01,0.2,0.11	0.10	0.06	0.05	26	59%	0.24	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	10	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.05	11	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.15	0.04	14	91%	0.42	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.07
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	13	74%	0.26	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	11	54%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	10	90%	0.21	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	72%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	16	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	26.3	14.4	23.6	2.3	32.5	125.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +13.4%

ORL +29.0%

ORL +12.0%

WAS -5.3%

ORL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.3	14.2	119.8	121.4	109.6
season	13.7	14.7		109.8	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.0		108.9	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	16.1	15.5	11.0	13.9
ORL	11.1	13.9	15.8	17.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	65	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-15	26	13.8	14.2	-0.44	15.6	12.0	3.61
Moritz Wagner	41	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-4	4	14.0	13.8	0.23	15.2	13.7	1.53
Ish Smith	38	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-4	4	14.1	13.8	0.31	15.5	13.6	1.89
CJ Miles	41	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-3	2	13.7	14.0	-0.34	14.4	14.3	0.08
Rui Hachimura	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	14.0	13.7	0.34	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Isaiah Thomas	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	13.8	14.1	-0.31	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Thomas Bryant	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	13.8	14.0	-0.23	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Troy Brown Jr.	51	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	10	-24	14.6	13.2	1.37	13.1	15.7	-2.66
Bradley Beal	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	1	-6	13.6	15.5	-1.91	14.1	15.2	-1.09

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-8	20	13.9	15.1	-1.23	13.9	13.9	0.09
Nikola Vucevic	72	72	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-6	16	13.7	15.8	-2.17	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Aaron Gordon	79	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	0	4	13.9	15.6	-1.70	13.9	13.8	0.17
Markelle Fultz	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	1	2	14.1	14.6	-0.58	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Al-Farouq Aminu	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	1	2	14.3	14.3	0.07	13.4	15.0	-1.64
Terrence Ross	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	-1	6	13.9	14.8	-0.85	14.5	13.3	1.21
D.J. Augustin	49	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	8	-12	16.0	12.8	3.24	14.3	13.5	0.80
Wes Iwundu	26	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	6	-8	15.6	13.9	1.68	13.1	14.2	-1.07
Mo Bamba	31	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	10	-16	15.8	13.7	2.17	14.8	13.6	1.19
Michael Carter-Williams	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	9	-14	12.8	14.5	-1.78	15.7	13.7	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	94.4%
CLE 116, LAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.89,0.98,0.91,1	94.4%
NYK 95, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%