NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	4.8 [851]		MVP	Brian Shaw (LAL): +16.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	1.1 [1237]		LVP	Devean George (LAL): -7.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	84%	0.14	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.16	0.01	0.10	24	66%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	74%	0.11	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	7	81%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	10	74%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	9	76%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	75%	0.15	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	27.5	16.6	28.9	2.7	36.0	141.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.4%

LAL +1.8%

LAL +16.1%

CLE -7.1%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	119.6	127.4	102.3
season	15.8	15.3		102.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	14.5	16.6	14.1	15.2
LAL	15.9	16.1	13.2	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	48	48	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.34	13	-18	31	15.3	15.1	0.17	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Brian Skinner	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.37	9	-14	23	14.8	15.5	-0.70	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Chris Mihm	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	3	-11	16.4	14.5	1.88	15.1	14.7	0.39
Jumaine Jones	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.7	14.0	1.72	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Michael Doleac	69	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-3	1	14.4	17.2	-2.85	15.1	14.2	0.85
Ricky Davis	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	14.5	20.8	-6.35	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Andre Miller	69	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	12	-29	15.8	13.7	2.02	15.3	13.7	1.61
Bryant Stith	60	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	13	-31	15.4	14.8	0.56	15.0	14.5	0.49

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	52	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-15	35	14.9	14.7	0.29	15.7	14.5	1.21
Rick Fox	52	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-15	35	14.9	14.7	0.29	15.7	14.5	1.21
Shaquille O'Neal	48	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-7	19	15.2	14.4	0.89	15.5	14.9	0.57
Kobe Bryant	59	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	-5	15	15.0	14.6	0.41	16.7	12.8	3.93
Robert Horry	41	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	14.6	15.0	-0.40	15.5	14.9	0.54
Mark Madsen	31	30	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	5	-5	13.9	15.3	-1.39	13.0	16.1	-3.12
Brian Shaw	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	10	-15	14.6	15.0	-0.41	12.8	16.7	-3.93
Samaki Walker	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.35	-7	12	-19	14.4	15.2	-0.89	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Mitch Richmond	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.38	-12	17	-29	14.1	15.1	-0.96	14.1	15.6	-1.44
Slava Medvedenko	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	8	-11	16.5	14.3	2.20	17.3	14.5	2.85
Devean George	43	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.38	-15	20	-35	14.7	14.9	-0.29	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Lindsey Hunter	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	8	-11	15.5	14.7	0.80	15.1	15.2	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.89,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 76, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHX 98, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%