NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	6.5 [538]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +42.3%
Denver Nuggets	100		Comeback	143.9 [22]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -24.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	85%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	7	93%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Ennis III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Trey Burke	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	35%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	12	31%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Joel Embiid	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	17	46%	0.11	8	-0.36	7	71%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.42	0.42	0.07	0.43	0.07	22	53%	0.45	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	18	59%	0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.08	0.04	11	58%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	12	74%	0.24	2	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	26.2	15.5	24.5	2.4	35.4	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.7%

DEN +8.3%

PHI -8.4%

DEN +17.9%

PHI -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	13.2	14.2	100.0	102.0	109.6
season	14.8	15.0		110.0	112.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		110.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	16.8	15.7	18.1	16.4
DEN	13.2	14.5	13.6	11.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	35	34	0.41	-0.91	1.33	-0.14	19	-22	41	13.9	17.8	-3.89	13.0	13.2	-0.19
Trey Burke	37	37	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.01	10	-13	23	16.3	16.4	-0.13	12.5	13.5	-1.03
Mike Scott	39	39	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.24	-1	-2	1	16.5	16.3	0.14	12.5	13.6	-1.11
Kyle O'Quinn	16	16	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-11	19	16.6	16.4	0.27	13.9	13.0	0.86
Furkan Korkmaz	50	53	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.26	-8	5	-13	17.0	15.8	1.19	12.5	13.9	-1.44
Raul Neto	59	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	8	-19	16.7	15.9	0.83	14.0	11.9	2.13
Josh Richardson	64	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.60	-2	-1	-1	16.4	16.4	0.06	13.0	13.4	-0.36
Al Horford	63	63	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.40	-11	8	-19	16.0	17.1	-1.15	13.4	12.7	0.68
Tobias Harris	67	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.48	-9	6	-15	16.8	15.5	1.26	13.3	12.7	0.60
Joel Embiid	55	57	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.57	-10	7	-17	17.0	15.6	1.38	13.3	13.0	0.31

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	68	68	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.23	23	-20	43	13.3	12.7	0.60	17.4	14.0	3.38
Nikola Jokic	76	75	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-15	33	13.5	12.0	1.55	17.0	14.3	2.75
Will Barton	74	73	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.33	16	-13	29	13.3	12.7	0.53	16.2	17.0	-0.85
Gary Harris	69	67	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-8	19	13.8	11.7	2.03	16.5	16.2	0.29
Jamal Murray	70	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-11	25	14.1	10.9	3.16	17.4	13.4	3.99
Torrey Craig	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	8	-13	10.8	13.4	-2.63	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Mason Plumlee	24	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	16	-29	11.0	13.9	-2.91	13.7	17.3	-3.60
Malik Beasley	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.19	-13	16	-29	11.6	13.5	-1.89	13.1	17.1	-4.05
Michael Porter Jr.	15	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.04	-9	12	-21	13.5	13.1	0.45	17.6	16.2	1.39
Monte Morris	36	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	10	-17	12.0	13.8	-1.82	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Jerami Grant	30	28	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.19	-20	23	-43	12.7	13.3	-0.60	14.5	17.2	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	93.3%
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	92.6%
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	92.4%