NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	7.8 [314]		MVP	Marcus Morris Sr. (NYK): +22.4%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	2.1 [192]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -23.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.08	-0.04	22	58%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Kevin Knox II	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Damyean Dotson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Julius Randle	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	16	52%	0.02	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
RJ Barrett	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24	-0.16	-0.07	0.01	9	12%	-0.18	1	-0.05	6	17%	-0.07

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.06	0.03	22	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	4	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	0.07	-0.13	0.04	26	62%	0.20	8	-0.30	9	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	32.5	15.3	24.5	1.8	37.0	137.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.6%

DAL -3.0%

NYK +18.6%

NYK +14.1%

DAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	14.2	103.9	99.0	109.6
season	14.5	14.5		105.4	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.4		111.3	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	13.8	17.4	15.2	14.8
DAL	11.9	13.9	13.9	13.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris Sr.	88	87	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.53	7	-3	10	15.0	13.9	1.06	13.3	13.1	0.16
Julius Randle	75	76	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-4	12	14.6	15.4	-0.82	13.9	11.6	2.31
Frank Ntilikina	78	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-1	6	14.8	14.8	0.01	13.8	11.6	2.14
RJ Barrett	71	73	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.49	-8	12	-20	15.3	13.7	1.58	13.3	13.2	0.04
Taj Gibson	55	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	9	-14	14.9	14.7	0.18	14.0	12.4	1.57
Damyean Dotson	17	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-3	10	13.4	15.1	-1.72	12.2	13.5	-1.27
Allonzo Trier	38	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	0	4	14.6	15.0	-0.42	12.6	13.6	-1.00
Bobby Portis	54	55	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	1	2	14.9	14.7	0.18	12.4	14.2	-1.81
Kevin Knox II	34	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.14	-1	5	-6	14.7	14.9	-0.25	12.0	13.9	-1.84

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	35	33	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.09	15	-19	34	12.8	13.5	-0.74	15.9	14.3	1.58
Seth Curry	29	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-8	12	13.2	13.3	-0.12	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Courtney Lee	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-8	12	12.2	13.4	-1.21	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Maxi Kleber	65	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-2	0	12.6	14.5	-1.92	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Tim Hardaway Jr.	54	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	2	-8	12.5	14.1	-1.64	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Justin Jackson	18	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	9	-22	12.6	13.4	-0.79	12.2	15.5	-3.30
Dwight Powell	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	14.4	11.9	2.48	15.3	14.3	0.94
Dorian Finney-Smith	43	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	14.0	12.7	1.35	15.2	14.6	0.64
Luka Doncic	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	1	-6	13.1	13.8	-0.72	14.9	14.6	0.39
Kristaps Porzingis	75	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	0	-4	13.3	13.2	0.07	15.5	13.1	2.44
Delon Wright	54	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.27	-12	8	-20	14.1	12.3	1.86	14.8	14.9	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	92.9%
ATL 104, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.47,0.73,0.64,0.35,0.53,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.01,0	91.7%
DET 106, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	91.6%