NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	8.0 [267]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +37.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	2.7 [481]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -20.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.19	0.20	0.01	10	85%	0.45	1	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	15	68%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.01	3	86%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	16	41%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Al Horford	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	17	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.05	-0.03	13	29%	-0.07	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	22	40%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.12	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.00	23	58%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.3	28.6	15.6	25.6	2.8	42.4	145.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.1%

ATL +1.0%

ATL +7.0%

ATL +1.3%

ATL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.9	106.1	99.0	105.1
season	14.2	15.0		104.1	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.1		106.7	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	16.3	12.8	13.0	14.0
POR	14.6	14.4	16.6	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-3	12	13.0	16.2	-3.22	15.3	15.1	0.23
Kyle Korver	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	14.9	12.9	2.07	15.9	14.3	1.61
Jeff Teague	59	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.58	-1	7	-8	14.3	13.6	0.63	15.4	15.0	0.40
Paul Millsap	70	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-1	8	13.0	16.6	-3.62	15.6	14.3	1.36
Al Horford	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	6	-6	14.3	13.0	1.37	14.6	17.2	-2.53
Tiago Splitter	34	34	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.12	11	-5	16	14.2	13.9	0.24	17.2	14.2	3.04
Thabo Sefolosha	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	0	6	13.5	14.6	-1.14	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Mike Muscala	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	0.0	14.0	-14.02	1.0	15.4	-14.36
Dennis Schroder	41	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.25	5	1	4	13.4	14.5	-1.08	15.2	15.2	0.07
Mike Scott	16	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	12	-18	16.7	13.5	3.26	12.9	15.7	-2.74
Tim Hardaway Jr.	23	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	16	-26	16.6	13.2	3.33	13.9	15.6	-1.68

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	34	33	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.12	14	-20	34	15.9	14.8	1.11	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Noah Vonleh	29	29	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-9	12	15.9	14.9	1.02	14.8	13.7	1.15
Ed Davis	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	3	-12	15.5	15.0	0.55	13.6	14.3	-0.71
Allen Crabbe	61	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	14.6	16.2	-1.66	13.1	15.4	-2.27
Meyers Leonard	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	3	-12	15.5	15.0	0.54	12.5	15.0	-2.50
Maurice Harkless	21	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	4	-14	14.8	15.3	-0.57	15.4	13.7	1.74
Mason Plumlee	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-9	12	15.0	15.5	-0.55	14.5	13.4	1.13
CJ McCollum	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.57	3	-9	12	14.9	16.5	-1.61	13.9	14.5	-0.67
Al-Farouq Aminu	61	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	1	-8	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.6	12.9	1.70
Damian Lillard	72	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	7	-20	15.6	14.1	1.56	14.4	12.8	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.47,0.73,0.64,0.35,0.53,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.26,0	90.9%
DET 99, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	90.7%
LAL 99, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.32,0.04,0	90.7%