NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	9.5 [121]		MVP	Marcus Morris Sr. (NYK): +71.4%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.7 [842]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -27.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.71	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.71	0.17	0.64	0.09	17	64%	0.74	1	-0.03	11	73%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	55%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
Frank Ntilikina	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	41%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	7	47%	0.06	6	-0.22	3	67%	-0.02
RJ Barrett	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	17	37%	-0.19	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.52	0.52	0.11	0.42	0.01	17	67%	0.57	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.48	0.48	0.13	0.36	0.01	19	63%	0.61	3	-0.12	14	100%	0.17
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	11	57%	0.17	2	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Vincent Poirier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	71%	0.07	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.13	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carsen Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	27.6	15.5	27.2	1.8	38.6	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.5%

BOS +47.8%

NYK -17.2%

NYK -10.8%

BOS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.2	104.1	106.1	109.6
season	14.5	14.5		105.4	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.4		105.8	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	14.3	17.4	14.2	15.0
BOS	15.0	14.5	14.7	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	52	50	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.18	8	-10	18	14.6	15.5	-0.86	13.3	15.5	-2.14
Kevin Knox II	61	60	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-6	10	14.2	16.3	-2.09	13.8	15.3	-1.51
Bobby Portis	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	1	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.78	13.7	14.9	-1.11
Marcus Morris Sr.	76	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	1	-4	15.8	12.2	3.66	14.8	12.7	2.03
RJ Barrett	78	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.7	16.1	-1.36	14.9	12.1	2.76
Mitchell Robinson	34	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	2	-6	14.8	15.2	-0.39	14.8	14.1	0.70
Julius Randle	67	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.48	-5	3	-8	15.6	13.7	1.96	14.6	13.8	0.77
Frank Ntilikina	78	77	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.64	-5	3	-8	15.2	14.3	0.91	14.5	13.9	0.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	53	53	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-10	22	14.8	13.9	0.93	15.6	14.3	1.35
Jayson Tatum	66	67	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-10	22	14.2	14.7	-0.52	16.1	12.6	3.52
Kemba Walker	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	15.2	12.0	3.22	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Gordon Hayward	72	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.54	2	0	2	15.1	12.3	2.75	14.5	16.5	-2.07
Marcus Smart	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.54	1	1	0	14.9	13.5	1.42	15.3	14.5	0.85
Grant Williams	58	59	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.39	-5	7	-12	13.8	15.2	-1.45	13.4	17.5	-4.18
Vincent Poirier	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	16.1	14.1	1.97	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Semi Ojeleye	32	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	6	-10	13.6	14.7	-1.15	15.9	14.6	1.36
Carsen Edwards	30	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.08	-6	8	-14	12.9	15.0	-2.07	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Brad Wanamaker	33	34	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.34	-3	5	-8	12.0	15.6	-3.57	15.4	14.8	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.9%
UTA 85, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%
IND 90, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	92.6%