NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	8.1 [254]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): +25.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	2.5 [356]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -6.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.16	0.03	0.14	0.01	8	68%	0.24	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	5	67%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	-0.00	6	81%	0.26	0	0.00	9	89%	0.06
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.13	0.04	4	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.02	10	68%	0.22	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	19	56%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.19	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	9	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	12	64%	0.15	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.04	0.00	11	41%	0.07	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	29.4	14.5	27.2	2.4	35.5	139.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.5%

CLE +7.7%

CLE +30.7%

CHI -50.6%

CHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.6	16.0	14.2	113.3	120.6	109.6
season	14.1	15.1		105.3	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.4		114.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.9	13.4	15.4	13.6	13.6
CLE	17.6	16.6	14.6	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Arcidiacono	32	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-6	6	13.6	13.5	0.02	14.9	16.6	-1.77
Tomas Satoransky	55	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-11	16	12.9	14.4	-1.55	17.2	14.5	2.63
Otto Porter Jr.	55	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-11	16	12.9	14.4	-1.55	17.1	14.6	2.44
Luke Kornet	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-3	0	14.9	12.8	2.13	18.0	14.9	3.12
Wendell Carter Jr.	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	12.5	15.1	-2.62	15.3	17.1	-1.73
Thaddeus Young	45	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	13.8	13.3	0.50	17.3	15.0	2.23
Lauri Markkanen	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	3	-12	13.6	13.5	0.09	14.6	18.2	-3.55
Coby White	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	5	-16	14.4	12.9	1.55	14.6	17.1	-2.44
Kris Dunn	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	5	-16	14.4	12.9	1.55	14.5	17.2	-2.63
Zach LaVine	66	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	13.5	13.6	-0.02	16.6	14.9	1.77

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-2	10	13.9	18.6	-4.72	14.1	12.8	1.33
Kevin Love	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-6	18	15.6	16.9	-1.28	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Collin Sexton	54	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	5	-4	17.0	14.7	2.26	13.2	14.1	-0.93
Larry Nance Jr.	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	15.0	17.7	-2.74	13.9	13.1	0.80
Kevin Porter Jr.	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	-1	8	14.8	16.9	-2.14	13.9	13.3	0.62
Tristan Thompson	67	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	8	-10	17.3	13.0	4.30	13.5	13.7	-0.26
Cedi Osman	61	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	7	-8	16.9	14.5	2.39	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Matthew Dellavedova	31	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	14.5	16.7	-2.23	13.1	13.7	-0.57
Darius Garland	49	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	18.1	13.9	4.25	13.6	13.5	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.1%
ATL 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.4%
VAN 75, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.3%