NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	6.4 [546]		MVP	Derrick White (SAS): +31.8%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	5.2 [421]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -14.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skal Labissiere	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.11,0.11,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	28	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Rodney Hood	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	0.09	-0.08	0.05	22	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	9	15%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.18	0.03	11	75%	0.32	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	11	54%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	16	66%	0.16	5	-0.10	9	78%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	17	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	39%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.4	15.4	30.3	1.8	38.5	138.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +56.6%

SAS +5.2%

POR -0.8%

POR -12.4%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	13.6	12.8	14.2	100.0	104.6	109.6
season	14.4	14.1		111.9	110.8
opponent	14.2	13.9		112.0	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	14.8	14.2	11.0	13.6
SAS	13.7	11.9	10.6	15.3	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	14.2	13.1	1.11	12.7	12.9	-0.22
Skal Labissiere	31	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	14.0	13.4	0.60	12.4	12.9	-0.52
Anfernee Simons	50	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-7	11	12.1	14.8	-2.68	13.4	12.3	1.05
Anthony Tolliver	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.50	8	-11	19	13.7	13.5	0.15	13.0	12.6	0.35
Rodney Hood	77	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-5	7	13.3	14.3	-1.05	13.0	12.3	0.69
CJ McCollum	86	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	13.4	14.3	-0.94	13.2	11.2	2.03
Mario Hezonja	44	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	8	-19	14.1	13.3	0.78	12.1	13.2	-1.10
Damian Lillard	89	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.52	4	-7	11	13.4	14.3	-0.85	12.9	12.7	0.18
Kent Bazemore	54	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	17	-37	14.7	12.5	2.20	11.9	13.7	-1.75

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	1	1	12.3	14.2	-1.93	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Rudy Gay	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-11	25	11.7	13.6	-1.91	14.6	12.9	1.69
Patty Mills	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-10	23	12.4	13.1	-0.70	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Derrick White	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	-2	7	12.9	12.7	0.22	12.9	14.4	-1.47
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	76	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	6	-9	13.2	12.0	1.19	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Jakob Poeltl	26	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-3	9	12.3	13.0	-0.62	14.4	13.3	1.06
Bryn Forbes	66	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.61	-16	19	-35	13.4	11.9	1.49	13.2	14.3	-1.15
Dejounte Murray	49	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	5	-7	12.7	12.9	-0.22	14.4	12.9	1.47
Trey Lyles	55	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	6	-9	13.0	12.7	0.30	14.0	13.2	0.74
Marco Belinelli	37	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	4	-5	14.2	12.1	2.09	13.6	13.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.97,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,1	93.1%
DAL 93, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%
BOS 105, SAC 119	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.4%