inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 131 Excitement9.9 [96] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +35.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 126 Comeback18.8 [18] LVPKhris Middleton (MIL): -22.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.190.040.180.02963%0.293-0.091275%0.07
Derrick Jones Jr.0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.040.00693%0.1800.003100%0.01
Duncan Robinson0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.070.10-0.00675%0.1700.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.011164%0.213-0.1500%0.00
Meyers Leonard0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.024100%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Goran Dragic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.030.020.020.011653%0.072-0.051560%-0.09
Chris Silva0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Nunn-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.011753%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.090,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.05-0.021644%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.220,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22-0.19-0.06-0.031626%-0.163-0.06633%-0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.350.35-0.050.38-0.032157%0.618-0.26956%-0.02
Wesley Matthews0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.12-0.020.00978%0.1000.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.080.080.060.00-0.031158%0.121-0.042100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01858%0.0500.003100%0.01
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01-0.02950%0.052-0.046100%0.07
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Sterling Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.21-0.21-0.06-0.15-0.01845%-0.083-0.13667%-0.01
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22-0.220.10-0.280.041661%-0.062-0.16978%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.10.828.415.323.41.851.21.823.7172.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +5.2%
MIL -6.0%
MIA +51.0%
MIA +9.4%
MIL -9.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game13.512.314.2106.5101.6109.6
season14.713.2111.7111.0
opponent14.114.5102.6108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA13.914.613.411.913.413.5
MIL11.412.112.713.810.712.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk64650.84-0.341.180.4015-102512.814.2-1.4113.111.41.70
Justise Winslow95970.84-0.341.170.3716-112713.114.5-1.4012.511.60.95
Duncan Robinson58550.470.030.450.1511-61711.815.0-3.1812.911.81.06
Bam Adebayo89890.350.150.200.41-27-914.111.72.4612.013.0-0.98
Goran Dragic79790.240.26-0.010.1823-113.213.9-0.6412.611.80.75
Derrick Jones Jr.37380.100.40-0.29-0.0450511.714.2-2.5112.612.20.44
Kendrick Nunn65660.010.49-0.480.10-38-1114.312.51.8412.112.5-0.44
Chris Silva11-0.020.52-0.550.03-27-95.013.5-8.5217.012.34.74
Tyler Herro7578-0.030.53-0.560.23-914-2314.212.31.9411.214.2-2.95
Meyers Leonard5252-0.300.80-1.10-0.07-813-2115.212.22.9411.912.6-0.65

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver44440.35-0.851.200.350-5512.112.4-0.2911.614.5-2.87
Robin Lopez29280.12-0.620.740.15-1-4312.812.10.6513.513.40.10
Pat Connaughton31310.11-0.610.710.19-3-2-112.112.4-0.2312.513.8-1.30
Sterling Brown220.02-0.520.530.020-556.012.4-6.404.013.6-9.61
Giannis Antetokounmpo8889-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-5512.013.1-1.1513.114.3-1.16
Brook Lopez8279-0.14-0.360.21-0.233-81112.611.80.7813.812.80.96
Eric Bledsoe8077-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.434-91311.713.4-1.6513.812.80.97
Ersan Ilyasova4646-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-94-1312.312.3-0.0313.413.5-0.10
Khris Middleton8587-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.494-91311.813.4-1.6214.311.52.76
Wesley Matthews7171-0.740.24-0.98-0.56-61-712.412.20.1913.213.8-0.61
George Hill6263-1.110.61-1.71-0.58-1813-3114.010.63.3714.012.91.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.53,0.46,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.21,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 109, SEA 1060.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.03,0.08,088.7%
DET 112, CHI 1040.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,086.6%
NYK 104, ATL 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.46,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.02,085.6%