NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	8.7 [171]		MVP	Steve Francis (NYK): +37.3%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	16.1 [42]		LVP	Mardy Collins (NYK): -31.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37	0.10	0.24	-0.03	16	58%	0.48	2	-0.10	13	62%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.01,0.01,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.31	0.18	0.18	0.05	26	60%	0.34	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.04
Renaldo Balkman	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	12	28%	-0.11	2	-0.03	8	37%	-0.06
Mardy Collins	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.08	-0.24	-0.00	7	25%	-0.20	1	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	74%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	24	62%	0.17	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.03	4	80%	0.17	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.19,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	0.00	13	53%	0.05	9	-0.33	12	83%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.4	16.4	26.4	2.5	35.5	1.5	18.3	159.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +5.6%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +17.2%

NYK +19.4%

NYK +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.4	104.0	100.0	104.5
season	15.7	16.1		103.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	17.2	16.6	17.0	16.9	15.3	16.7
ATL	14.1	15.4	15.7	16.6	12.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	78	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-9	22	16.2	18.5	-2.28	15.3	14.3	1.01
Renaldo Balkman	71	69	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	0	4	16.6	16.9	-0.30	15.4	14.3	1.19
Stephon Marbury	96	96	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-6	16	16.9	12.5	4.40	15.2	13.2	1.91
Mardy Collins	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-9	22	15.7	17.9	-2.17	15.8	14.2	1.64
Jared Jeffries	77	77	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	5	-6	16.4	17.7	-1.27	15.7	13.0	2.70
Malik Rose	4	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	5	-6	7.5	17.1	-9.60	11.5	15.3	-3.81
Eddy Curry	55	55	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	4	-4	18.2	14.9	3.33	15.5	14.6	0.91
Kelvin Cato	6	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.5	16.7	0.83	11.2	15.2	-3.99
Jerome James	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	15.2	16.8	-1.60	7.4	15.5	-8.08
Quentin Richardson	19	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	14	-24	18.2	16.4	1.78	14.3	15.3	-0.94
Channing Frye	25	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	7	-10	18.8	16.0	2.72	13.7	15.6	-1.93

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	31	32	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-7	10	15.5	14.9	0.68	16.8	16.7	0.14
Speedy Claxton	30	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-7	10	14.4	15.4	-1.02	17.0	16.6	0.45
Marvin Williams	57	54	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-7	10	14.6	15.7	-1.12	17.4	15.9	1.45
Salim Stoudamire	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	2.0	15.2	-13.21	3.0	16.9	-13.86
Shelden Williams	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	2	-8	18.6	14.7	3.91	16.8	16.7	0.06
Zaza Pachulia	74	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-8	12	14.9	15.6	-0.67	17.2	15.3	1.88
Joe Johnson	93	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.45	-2	-2	0	15.1	15.4	-0.37	16.5	19.9	-3.37
Josh Childress	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	15.2	14.7	0.51	16.1	19.0	-2.95
Josh Smith	84	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.9	0.17	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Tyronn Lue	42	42	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	12	-28	15.5	14.8	0.68	17.0	16.5	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.46,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 109, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.03,0.08,0	88.4%
UTA 121, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.36,0.22,0.42,0	87.8%
PHI 102, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.15,0	87.7%