NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	7.2 [441]		MVP	RJ Hunter (BOS): +27.3%
Washington Wizards	110		Comeback	8.4 [104]		LVP	Jeff Green (WAS): -24.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Hunter	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.09	0.17	-0.01	13	61%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	-0.00	15	66%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Daniel Theis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	17	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
PJ Dozier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Robert Williams III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	8	86%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	7	93%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	13	41%	-0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	13	21%	-0.17	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.5	24.8	15.6	25.6	2.8	33.1	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.1%

WAS -11.5%

WAS -11.2%

BOS +32.5%

WAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	14.1	14.3	111.5	104.8	109.3
season	13.9	13.8		109.9	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.7		112.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	12.6	13.0	14.4	13.4
WAS	13.8	13.1	11.8	19.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Hunter	52	53	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.20	28	-22	50	12.5	14.3	-1.83	16.5	11.7	4.78
Robert Williams III	62	63	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-11	28	12.9	14.1	-1.22	14.7	13.3	1.35
Brad Wanamaker	58	60	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.25	17	-11	28	12.9	14.0	-1.13	16.1	11.6	4.49
PJ Dozier	80	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-4	14	13.2	14.0	-0.76	14.4	13.4	0.96
Semi Ojeleye	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-3	12	13.0	15.1	-2.11	14.8	11.7	3.06
Daniel Theis	29	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	4	-2	12.4	13.8	-1.34	14.5	14.0	0.49
Jaylen Brown	43	42	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	20	-34	14.3	12.8	1.48	11.6	15.8	-4.21
Terry Rozier	56	56	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.10	-16	22	-38	14.3	12.4	1.85	12.1	16.4	-4.32
Guerschon Yabusele	57	58	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	0.16	-23	29	-52	15.2	11.3	3.86	11.8	17.0	-5.25

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	40	40	0.53	-1.03	1.56	-0.12	22	-28	50	12.6	15.1	-2.49	14.0	13.0	1.03
Tomas Satoransky	64	63	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.05	12	-18	30	12.4	16.9	-4.57	14.0	12.5	1.49
Bobby Portis	53	54	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.05	9	-15	24	11.9	16.4	-4.52	13.9	12.9	0.91
Bradley Beal	36	36	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-14	22	13.6	14.4	-0.85	13.6	13.3	0.30
Troy Brown Jr.	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	13.0	15.0	-1.93	13.5	13.4	0.11
Devin Robinson	65	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	15.2	12.3	2.90	12.9	14.3	-1.47
Jeff Green	51	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	1	-8	14.9	13.4	1.48	13.6	13.2	0.36
Ian Mahinmi	52	50	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.28	-15	9	-24	16.4	11.9	4.52	12.9	13.9	-0.91
Chasson Randle	55	54	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.25	-22	16	-38	15.5	12.7	2.79	13.0	13.8	-0.78
Sam Dekker	65	64	-1.03	0.53	-1.56	-0.21	-28	22	-50	15.1	12.6	2.49	13.0	14.0	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 110, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.04,0	91.7%
NYK 113, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.2%
SAS 91, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	90.9%