NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	6.2 [610]		MVP	Kyle O'Quinn (NYK): +19.2%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	7.5 [137]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -14.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	6	79%	0.19	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	16	50%	0.14	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.04
Willy Hernangomez	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	70%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	13	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chasson Randle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	41%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	6	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Ron Baker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	17	66%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
C.J. Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.01
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.2	29.5	15.4	33.9	2.0	32.5	140.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.8%

NYK +14.1%

NYK +13.3%

NYK +17.6%

ORL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	14.8	120.2	111.7	107.7
season	15.0	14.6		106.6	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		109.8	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	15.7	14.6	15.9	15.5
ORL	14.0	16.3	14.2	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	52	50	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.21	27	-19	46	15.0	16.2	-1.25	15.9	14.2	1.76
Justin Holiday	47	48	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.25	16	-8	24	15.2	15.8	-0.57	15.5	14.7	0.78
Kyle O'Quinn	24	23	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-4	16	15.2	15.6	-0.36	16.3	14.7	1.51
Courtney Lee	82	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	2	4	15.4	16.2	-0.84	15.1	15.1	0.06
Lance Thomas	55	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	11	-14	16.4	14.3	2.03	14.6	15.8	-1.26
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.17	11	-3	14	14.2	16.2	-2.03	16.6	14.4	2.24
Willy Hernangomez	33	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.07	4	4	0	15.3	15.6	-0.29	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Ron Baker	35	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	9	-10	15.1	15.8	-0.65	15.2	15.1	0.13
Kristaps Porzingis	59	60	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.03	-9	17	-26	16.0	14.8	1.19	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Derrick Rose	52	54	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	0.08	-23	31	-54	16.4	14.4	2.06	14.2	16.4	-2.19

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	56	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-16	24	14.5	16.1	-1.61	16.3	14.2	2.06
Damjan Rudez	9	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-3	-2	19.2	14.7	4.54	12.6	15.8	-3.17
Elfrid Payton	66	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-15	22	14.6	16.4	-1.82	16.3	13.5	2.86
Evan Fournier	63	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-15	22	14.5	16.5	-1.99	16.3	13.8	2.55
Bismack Biyombo	81	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	14.4	19.4	-4.95	15.7	14.4	1.27
Terrence Ross	68	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-13	18	14.6	16.3	-1.70	16.4	13.2	3.23
Mario Hezonja	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	4	-16	16.1	14.6	1.43	13.8	16.4	-2.56
D.J. Augustin	28	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	7	-22	16.4	14.6	1.82	13.5	16.3	-2.86
C.J. Watson	25	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	8	-24	16.8	14.5	2.35	13.1	16.4	-3.27
Jeff Green	42	39	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.09	-21	13	-34	16.4	14.1	2.37	14.6	16.2	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.2%
DAL 112, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.0%
OKC 115, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.25,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.5%