NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	7.6 [367]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +23.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	4.9 [68]		LVP	Alex Caruso (LAL): -23.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georges Niang	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	10	70%	0.24	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	70%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	17	45%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19	-0.03	-0.13	0.03	11	50%	-0.05	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.12	-0.01	22	64%	0.32	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	80%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	16	65%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jemerrio Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	20	41%	-0.08	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	24.3	14.8	28.6	1.8	35.5	133.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +48.0%

UTA -10.8%

LAL +25.4%

UTA -17.9%

LAL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.3	112.4	116.5	109.3
season	14.3	13.5		109.3	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	14.8	14.6	16.0	15.0
LAL	14.1	15.8	15.4	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	59	59	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.07	10	-14	24	15.2	14.7	0.53	15.1	14.0	1.08
Thabo Sefolosha	49	47	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-11	18	16.0	14.1	1.88	15.9	13.5	2.35
Rudy Gobert	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	15.5	13.9	1.55	15.0	13.7	1.32
Donovan Mitchell	71	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-7	10	15.4	14.1	1.30	15.0	13.8	1.21
Grayson Allen	34	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	3	-10	14.3	15.4	-1.13	14.4	14.8	-0.33
Ekpe Udoh	28	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	4	-12	13.9	15.5	-1.55	13.7	15.0	-1.32
Georges Niang	55	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	4	-12	15.5	14.4	1.15	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Jae Crowder	48	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	7	-18	14.1	16.0	-1.88	13.5	15.9	-2.35
Joe Ingles	72	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	6	-16	14.5	16.6	-2.11	14.4	15.6	-1.19

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	84	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-3	10	14.5	15.9	-1.46	15.7	11.2	4.46
Mike Muscala	77	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-4	12	15.3	12.3	2.91	15.7	12.7	2.98
Jemerrio Jones	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	14.9	13.7	1.21	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Alex Caruso	87	86	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	3	-2	14.8	13.4	1.40	14.8	16.6	-1.81
Johnathan Williams	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-4	12	14.6	14.7	-0.03	15.0	15.0	0.02
JaVale McGee	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.35	-5	9	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.29	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Moritz Wagner	24	27	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	3	-2	12.5	15.4	-2.81	13.7	15.5	-1.79
Isaac Bonga	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.4	15.5	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.88,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 107, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.94,1,1	93.6%
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.3%
BKN 109, CLE 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.94,1,1	93.1%