NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	7.9 [335]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): +36.8%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	6.9 [150]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -17.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37	0.17	0.22	0.03	16	76%	0.42	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.07	-0.01	17	72%	0.33	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Jerami Grant	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	14	68%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Abdel Nader	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	20	40%	-0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.00	0.00	11	79%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	76%	0.20	7	-0.18	5	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	23	66%	0.25	8	-0.26	10	90%	0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	25.2	15.4	28.7	2.4	36.5	133.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.6%

OKC +0.0%

TOR -2.8%

OKC +22.3%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	TOR	NBA	OKC	TOR	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	14.3	118.4	110.1	109.3
season	12.9	14.3		108.9	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.9		105.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.9	13.8	12.5	13.3	13.8
TOR	16.1	14.4	15.7	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	74	75	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-11	29	13.8	13.9	-0.06	15.7	14.5	1.25
Dennis Schroder	67	67	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.27	17	-10	27	13.0	15.6	-2.61	15.4	15.3	0.09
Steven Adams	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-3	13	14.1	13.3	0.76	15.6	15.1	0.50
Paul George	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	8	-9	13.9	13.3	0.61	15.5	14.9	0.56
Terrance Ferguson	66	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-1	9	14.5	12.5	2.02	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Jerami Grant	73	75	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	9	-11	13.9	13.6	0.36	15.6	14.8	0.75
Markieff Morris	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	13.3	14.1	-0.76	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Nerlens Noel	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	13.0	13.9	-0.94	14.2	15.6	-1.31
Abdel Nader	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	15	-23	14.3	13.7	0.55	14.6	15.6	-1.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	55	56	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-14	21	14.5	16.6	-2.14	14.7	12.6	2.11
Kawhi Leonard	73	72	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-19	31	15.1	16.2	-1.07	14.2	12.7	1.60
Danny Green	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-6	5	15.0	16.6	-1.58	14.2	12.7	1.54
OG Anunoby	36	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	16.5	14.8	1.77	12.9	14.3	-1.49
Pascal Siakam	73	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	15.1	16.4	-1.33	14.4	12.0	2.40
Norman Powell	39	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	5	-17	15.7	15.2	0.48	12.5	14.7	-2.17
Jeremy Lin	31	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	5	-17	16.5	14.9	1.67	12.4	14.4	-2.01
Fred VanVleet	72	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-2	-3	15.3	15.8	-0.51	14.1	13.0	1.11
Serge Ibaka	44	42	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	7	-21	16.6	14.5	2.14	12.6	14.7	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.07,0	92.6%
MIA 108, BKN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0	92.5%
DAL 98, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%