NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	119		Excitement	9.9 [102]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +39.0%
Orlando Magic	123		Comeback	25.0 [155]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -12.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28	0.14	0.13	-0.01	13	79%	0.32	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	19	55%	0.27	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.01
Bruno Caboclo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	47%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.09
Ivan Rabb	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Tyler Dorsey	0.02	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.11	0.01	19	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	29%	-0.21
Julian Washburn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11	0.04	-0.14	0.00	15	52%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.39	0.39	0.14	0.23	-0.02	17	66%	0.40	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.23	0.00	23	52%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.28	0.03	0.01	15	94%	0.35	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	16	54%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	8	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	27.4	14.6	23.5	2.4	37.3	2.5	15.6	148.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +5.5%

ORL +21.7%

ORL +2.7%

ORL +17.3%

ORL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	14.3	113.3	116.0	109.3
season	15.4	14.9		105.4	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		107.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	12.9	14.3	15.4	19.4	18.9	15.6
ORL	15.3	12.8	16.6	12.8	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	34	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	-1	-2	14.5	16.2	-1.67	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Julian Washburn	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.20	-6	2	-8	15.0	15.8	-0.83	12.6	15.1	-2.50
Bruno Caboclo	58	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-11	18	15.4	15.9	-0.44	15.0	13.9	1.06
Ivan Rabb	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.21	-10	6	-16	15.2	15.8	-0.56	12.7	15.1	-2.47
Jonas Valanciunas	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.59	6	-10	16	15.8	15.2	0.56	15.1	12.7	2.47
Tyler Dorsey	81	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.58	5	-9	14	15.8	15.1	0.65	15.3	11.6	3.69
Chandler Parsons	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	10	-24	15.9	15.3	0.53	13.9	15.4	-1.56
Delon Wright	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.51	1	-5	6	16.1	14.3	1.87	14.6	14.3	0.24
Justin Holiday	85	87	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	2	-8	15.6	15.6	0.04	14.5	14.5	0.06

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	69	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.09	25	-21	46	13.8	15.8	-1.94	16.4	13.9	2.51
Michael Carter-Williams	35	32	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-9	22	11.4	16.1	-4.66	15.5	15.7	-0.14
Aaron Gordon	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	1	2	14.2	15.3	-1.10	16.0	14.5	1.55
Nikola Vucevic	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	5	-6	15.3	12.2	3.13	16.0	14.4	1.59
Evan Fournier	76	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-7	18	14.9	13.4	1.51	15.8	15.0	0.83
Khem Birch	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	-1	6	12.2	15.3	-3.13	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Wes Iwundu	27	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.48	-16	20	-36	14.5	14.5	-0.05	13.3	16.3	-2.98
D.J. Augustin	81	82	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	15.8	10.4	5.39	15.9	14.7	1.25
Jonathan Isaac	56	53	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.33	-17	21	-38	15.3	13.7	1.63	14.3	17.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.34,0.22,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.64,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.72,1	88.2%
POR 113, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.39,0.24,0.85,1	88.0%
IND 104, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.59,1	87.9%