NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	3.4 [1140]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +10.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	88		Comeback	1.0 [707]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -18.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	23	59%	0.15	4	-0.05	10	80%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	21	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Quinn Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Jacob Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	25	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.24	-0.00	-0.06	16	19%	-0.11	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	1.8	25.4	14.8	29.0	2.8	29.5	134.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.5%

GSW +5.8%

OKC -4.9%

GSW +8.0%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	OKC	NBA	GSW	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.3	106.8	85.4	109.3
season	13.4	12.9		114.5	108.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	13.6	14.6	15.5	14.1
OKC	14.8	14.7	12.0	13.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	3	16	13.9	14.7	-0.77	14.1	13.2	0.87
Draymond Green	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	5	12	14.0	14.5	-0.58	13.9	13.5	0.46
Klay Thompson	76	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	0	22	14.3	13.7	0.55	13.8	13.9	-0.11
Andre Iguodala	49	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	4	14	14.3	14.0	0.38	13.7	13.9	-0.22
DeMarcus Cousins	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	3	16	14.4	13.8	0.65	13.6	14.1	-0.44
Kevon Looney	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	23	-24	14.5	14.0	0.52	14.4	13.5	0.88
Shaun Livingston	31	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	20	-18	15.0	13.8	1.18	15.3	13.1	2.17
Alfonzo McKinnie	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	28	-34	14.7	13.8	0.94	13.0	14.3	-1.25
Jordan Bell	32	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	17	-12	14.1	14.2	-0.03	13.5	13.9	-0.46
Quinn Cook	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	19	-16	14.6	13.9	0.66	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Jacob Evans	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	8.8	14.4	-5.62	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Damion Lee	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	8.8	14.4	-5.62	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	18	-14	9.3	14.4	-5.11	12.2	13.9	-1.75

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamidou Diallo	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	13.8	13.8	0.02	12.1	14.3	-2.15
Patrick Patterson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	15.0	13.8	1.21	9.7	14.3	-4.61
Nerlens Noel	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-24	26	13.5	13.9	-0.34	13.3	14.4	-1.03
Deonte Burton	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.19	-7	-15	8	13.5	13.9	-0.41	14.2	14.1	0.12
Markieff Morris	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-23	24	13.9	13.8	0.11	14.9	13.8	1.12
Abdel Nader	43	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-19	16	12.9	14.5	-1.56	13.9	14.3	-0.37
Dennis Schroder	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-20	18	13.6	14.1	-0.47	14.5	13.7	0.77
Terrance Ferguson	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-3	-16	14.2	13.3	0.92	14.2	14.1	0.03
Paul George	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	-5	-12	14.0	13.3	0.63	15.0	11.7	3.33
Steven Adams	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-3	-16	13.6	14.3	-0.68	14.2	14.1	0.02
Russell Westbrook	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	-4	-14	13.7	14.1	-0.41	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Jerami Grant	53	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	0	-22	14.7	12.9	1.78	13.5	14.8	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, DEN 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIA 89, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 113, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%