inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 113 Excitement3.4 [1148] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +10.4%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback1.0 [616] LVPEddie Jones (MIA): -8.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.100,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.000.052467%0.122-0.0213100%0.05
Marquis Daniels0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.011371%0.111-0.00560%0.02
Jason Terry0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.00-0.014125%0.102-0.0100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.01-0.04767%0.072-0.02475%-0.01
Erick Dampier0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00375%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Josh Howard0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.041237%0.0100.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.02675%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Calvin Booth0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Dickau0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
DJ Mbenga-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.01325%-0.052-0.0320%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.02774%0.0500.005100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01567%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03856%0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.02450%0.0010.0000%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031438%-0.022-0.031100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.050.000.011355%-0.032-0.031443%-0.06
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.041844%-0.033-0.04989%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.17-0.00-0.081112%-0.091-0.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.63.538.00.328.02.730.7131.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +44.2%
DAL +4.1%
MIA -2.8%
MIA -2.1%
DAL +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game14.716.315.5120.2101.1104.0
season14.915.7108.2107.9
opponent15.515.5101.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL11.214.516.817.614.7
MIA15.614.916.718.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki83800.58-0.080.67-0.3030-104014.714.7-0.0016.812.34.52
Marquis Daniels63620.500.000.50-0.031821613.716.9-3.2016.016.8-0.85
Devin Harris45460.420.080.35-0.051641214.215.2-1.0515.417.1-1.74
Josh Howard71670.420.080.35-0.3125-53014.714.8-0.1416.914.62.34
Erick Dampier36340.390.110.28-0.2522-22412.316.2-3.9215.616.6-0.97
Alan Henderson31320.090.41-0.32-0.15812-414.614.8-0.2117.215.71.47
Jerry Stackhouse50510.080.42-0.350.05119-1815.513.91.5715.716.9-1.16
Jason Terry50470.080.42-0.350.02218-1615.214.11.1016.915.61.25
Shawn Bradley15150.050.45-0.410.08-121-2217.014.32.7116.616.20.41
Calvin Booth880.000.50-0.490.09-323-2616.514.61.9412.416.6-4.26
Dan Dickau56-0.040.54-0.570.11-525-3021.014.46.6318.016.11.86
DJ Mbenga1312-0.080.58-0.650.30-1333-4618.014.23.8013.816.6-2.79

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling40410.08-0.580.67-0.3615-355015.816.6-0.8617.312.84.51
Wang Zhi-zhi440.00-0.500.50-0.062-222416.516.20.2522.714.48.38
Wesley Person910-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222418.016.11.9324.913.511.39
Malik Allen2626-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-232616.316.20.1219.013.15.91
Michael Doleac2524-0.05-0.450.390.12-6-14819.515.14.4215.614.41.21
Damon Jones4343-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-7-616.715.80.9112.716.5-3.78
Dwyane Wade6163-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-1-1816.216.5-0.2913.816.6-2.82
Shaquille O'Neal6064-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.00-14-6-815.118.4-3.2413.816.7-2.90
Rasual Butler6768-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.07-12-8-416.016.9-0.9116.011.44.56
Udonis Haslem6869-0.49-0.01-0.480.25-255-3016.216.5-0.2713.219.0-5.83
Eddie Jones5758-0.530.03-0.550.44-3313-4616.216.4-0.2712.218.7-6.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 148, CLE 1240.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
CHI 107, NOH 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,096.3%
SAC 106, LAL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,096.3%