NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	125		Excitement	7.5 [402]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +52.5%
LA Clippers	104		Comeback	2.5 [567]		LVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): -8.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.53	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.28	0.29	0.05	21	73%	0.53	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	14	69%	0.16	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	11	52%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jake Layman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	15	58%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	64%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.03	-0.06	16	43%	0.10	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	15	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.3	14.5	31.3	1.8	29.0	130.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.8%

LAC -1.7%

POR +7.6%

LAC -4.8%

POR +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	14.3	130.2	107.2	109.3
season	14.9	13.9		112.6	111.3
opponent	14.1	13.9		110.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	15.4	15.2	15.3	15.6
LAC	12.5	15.2	14.2	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.02	20	1	19	15.7	15.3	0.42	15.3	11.9	3.37
Jusuf Nurkic	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	2	17	15.0	16.2	-1.13	15.1	13.4	1.67
Maurice Harkless	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	2	17	15.5	15.6	-0.09	15.5	12.9	2.65
Evan Turner	20	20	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	13	-5	15.4	15.6	-0.21	15.6	13.9	1.65
Jake Layman	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	5	11	15.5	15.6	-0.07	13.6	15.1	-1.45
Seth Curry	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	14	-7	16.1	15.1	0.99	12.3	15.8	-3.48
Damian Lillard	68	69	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	9	3	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	19	-17	15.6	15.5	0.06	15.1	13.5	1.64
Enes Kanter	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	22	-23	16.5	14.9	1.65	13.4	14.9	-1.56
Gary Trent Jr.	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.7	15.7	-2.02	11.5	14.5	-2.97
Skal Labissiere	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.7	15.7	-2.02	11.5	14.5	-2.97
Zach Collins	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.16	-1	22	-23	15.4	15.6	-0.22	13.2	14.7	-1.48

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	32	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-23	25	11.9	15.5	-3.60	16.1	15.3	0.74
Tyrone Wallace	24	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.20	-4	-17	13	12.0	15.0	-3.04	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Sindarius Thornwell	6	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-18	15	10.2	14.6	-4.39	12.0	15.8	-3.76
Wilson Chandler	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-17	13	13.0	15.1	-2.08	16.6	14.8	1.77
Ivica Zubac	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-12	3	14.4	14.2	0.18	14.2	16.9	-2.71
Montrezl Harrell	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-9	-3	14.2	14.4	-0.18	16.9	14.2	2.71
Patrick Beverley	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-7	-7	15.0	13.0	1.98	15.8	15.0	0.81
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-9	-3	15.3	13.0	2.31	15.1	16.1	-0.95
JaMychal Green	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	0	-21	14.7	13.4	1.33	14.8	17.3	-2.50
Lou Williams	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	-8	-5	14.2	14.4	-0.25	16.5	14.4	2.09
Landry Shamet	53	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	-6	-9	15.9	12.4	3.48	15.1	16.1	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0	94.1%
SAS 99, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0	93.9%
POR 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%