NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	130		Excitement	6.0 [648]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +19.2%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	2.8 [695]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (NOP): -13.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	9	83%	0.23	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.04	-0.05	14	72%	0.23	5	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	14	63%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.08	9	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Frank Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	11	36%	0.01	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.01	9	79%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	11	73%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	2	117%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	54%	0.10	6	-0.12	14	93%	0.03
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	22	40%	-0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	26.6	14.6	25.1	1.8	29.3	127.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +59.1%

PHX -9.0%

NOP +4.3%

PHX -5.0%

NOP +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	11.6	13.8	14.3	115.0	102.7	109.3
season	13.4	14.4		110.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.2		114.0	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	10.4	12.3	11.1	12.9	11.6
PHX	12.8	13.0	16.6	13.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	51	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-3	20	11.2	12.0	-0.84	13.8	13.8	-0.00
Frank Jackson	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	1	12	11.3	12.0	-0.77	13.3	14.4	-1.04
Cheick Diallo	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	2	10	11.8	11.5	0.21	13.5	14.1	-0.54
Julius Randle	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	7	0	10.9	12.7	-1.75	14.0	13.6	0.34
Jrue Holiday	70	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	7	0	11.9	11.3	0.58	14.4	12.8	1.64
Elfrid Payton	81	79	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	10	-6	12.0	10.6	1.41	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Darius Miller	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	5	4	11.9	11.4	0.45	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Anthony Davis	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	10	-6	10.1	12.9	-2.73	15.0	12.9	2.13
Kenrich Williams	67	66	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	15	-16	12.4	10.6	1.81	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Jahlil Okafor	18	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	16	-18	14.6	11.1	3.54	12.5	14.1	-1.59

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	69	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-13	12	13.6	14.2	-0.58	11.9	11.3	0.63
Josh Jackson	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-15	16	13.6	14.1	-0.48	12.6	10.8	1.80
Troy Daniels	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-11	8	13.8	13.9	-0.13	13.3	10.8	2.53
Mikal Bridges	62	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-13	12	13.4	14.4	-1.02	12.7	10.2	2.57
De'Anthony Melton	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-9	4	13.2	14.2	-0.94	13.2	10.8	2.42
Dragan Bender	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	14.6	13.4	1.19	9.6	12.8	-3.15
Tyler Johnson	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-6	-2	14.4	13.1	1.30	10.5	13.3	-2.78
Devin Booker	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	13.8	14.1	-0.34	11.0	13.2	-2.18
Richaun Holmes	44	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-1	-12	14.2	13.6	0.58	11.3	11.9	-0.63
Kelly Oubre Jr.	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	5	-24	14.0	13.6	0.43	11.1	12.6	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 122, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.9%
LAL 123, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
SEA 105, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%