NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	147		Excitement	18.0 [5]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +93.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	148		Comeback	20.5 [108]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -66.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.44	0.11	0.36	0.02	12	70%	0.58	3	-0.13	13	62%	-0.06
Derrick Favors	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.14	-0.01	11	92%	0.44	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	10	75%	0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	14	61%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	9	67%	0.35	8	-0.38	3	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.01	-0.12	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.66	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.17,-0.54,-0.54,-0.48,-0.56,-0.56,-0.66	0.03	-0.66	0.03	35	50%	-0.44	3	-0.22	6	100%	0.06

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.44,0.44,0.93	0.93	0.28	0.66	0.00	31	66%	0.93	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.02	0.29	0.00	2	75%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.15	0.02	10	78%	0.28	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.16	-0.24	0.01	29	63%	0.27	5	-0.37	10	70%	0.03
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	14	50%	-0.01	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.13	-0.00	16	26%	-0.20	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.8	0.3	32.2	14.8	29.1	3.4	31.5	2.5	15.2	2.3	9.8	169.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +31.6%

OKC +11.2%

UTA -36.1%

OKC +45.4%

UTA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	12.9	14.3	117.6	116.5	109.3
season	14.3	12.9		109.3	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.1	13.3	12.0	17.4	16.8	14.8
OKC	11.2	12.9	13.2	13.9	11.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	66	66	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.12	16	-17	33	14.4	15.1	-0.73	14.9	10.7	4.13
Raul Neto	24	26	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.05	15	-16	31	12.7	15.2	-2.48	17.2	11.8	5.47
Royce O'Neale	38	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	4	-9	14.5	14.9	-0.32	12.2	13.2	-0.92
Thabo Sefolosha	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	1	-3	12.9	14.9	-2.01	15.1	12.7	2.39
Kyle Korver	24	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-2	3	13.6	15.0	-1.39	12.9	12.9	-0.04
Joe Ingles	87	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.57	9	-10	19	14.4	15.5	-1.07	14.0	10.3	3.70
Jae Crowder	80	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	8	-17	14.7	14.9	-0.18	12.2	14.1	-1.94
Ricky Rubio	90	90	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.54	-7	6	-13	15.2	13.6	1.64	12.2	14.5	-2.34
Rudy Gobert	96	98	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.54	-7	6	-13	15.2	13.3	1.92	11.9	16.1	-4.13
Donovan Mitchell	101	101	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.52	-16	15	-31	15.2	12.7	2.48	11.8	17.2	-5.47

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	105	104	1.09	-0.59	1.69	0.54	19	-18	37	12.0	17.0	-4.98	15.3	12.2	3.02
Jerami Grant	89	88	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.64	0	1	-1	13.1	12.5	0.58	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Paul George	108	107	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	5	-9	13.2	11.1	2.15	15.1	12.6	2.50
Terrance Ferguson	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	-3	7	12.9	12.8	0.12	16.1	13.6	2.52
Dennis Schroder	80	78	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	-1	3	12.7	13.2	-0.46	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Russell Westbrook	97	96	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	-8	17	11.8	16.5	-4.74	14.9	14.4	0.49
Abdel Nader	10	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	7	-13	20.0	12.3	7.73	11.8	15.0	-3.20
Markieff Morris	38	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.17	1	0	1	12.5	13.1	-0.58	14.8	14.7	0.08
Deonte Burton	19	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	4	-7	12.3	13.0	-0.73	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Nerlens Noel	22	21	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.09	-18	19	-37	17.0	12.0	4.98	12.2	15.3	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.58,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.42,0.46,0.21,0.28,0.55,0.27,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.41,0.16,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.92,1	85.7%
BOS 105, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.15,0	85.7%
SAS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.43,1	85.6%