NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	7.7 [354]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +28.7%
Toronto Raptors	129		Comeback	5.8 [537]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -14.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.02	-0.02	14	74%	0.23	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.08	0.02	11	68%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Thomas Bryant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	11	54%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	10	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.03	-0.05	15	59%	0.20	4	-0.17	7	71%	0.04
Wesley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan McRae	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	0.02	-0.13	0.03	15	62%	0.11	6	-0.26	15	93%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.22	0.08	0.02	25	71%	0.36	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.09	-0.02	14	79%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	10	42%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Loyd	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.13	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	29.7	15.6	28.7	2.4	37.5	144.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.6%

WAS -18.5%

TOR +16.2%

TOR +14.4%

TOR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	12.1	13.3	14.3	105.3	114.2	109.3
season	13.8	14.3		109.8	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		105.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	12.3	14.3	8.7	12.1
TOR	13.6	13.4	10.9	15.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	48	49	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-14	19	10.8	13.0	-2.21	12.8	13.7	-0.97
Wesley Johnson	43	42	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-20	31	11.8	12.2	-0.35	15.7	11.9	3.84
Jeff Green	95	95	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-5	1	11.6	14.4	-2.84	13.4	13.1	0.32
Jordan McRae	22	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	13.6	11.7	1.91	11.5	13.7	-2.22
Chasson Randle	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	6	-21	13.0	11.6	1.44	11.5	14.2	-2.66
Bobby Portis	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-5	1	11.6	12.6	-0.99	14.1	12.2	1.91
Jabari Parker	79	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-6	3	12.5	11.0	1.48	14.0	11.9	2.05
Bradley Beal	103	104	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	11.9	13.5	-1.55	13.3	13.1	0.24
Trevor Ariza	77	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	10	-29	12.7	10.6	2.12	12.3	15.6	-3.35

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	78	80	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.19	23	-14	37	12.2	15.9	-3.79	12.3	11.5	0.75
OG Anunoby	83	85	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-9	27	13.0	14.2	-1.19	12.2	11.6	0.58
Kyle Lowry	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-3	15	13.3	13.3	0.03	12.1	11.9	0.20
Serge Ibaka	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	0	9	12.8	14.2	-1.32	12.3	11.7	0.61
Jeremy Lin	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	-1	11	13.0	13.7	-0.66	13.4	10.7	2.74
Danny Green	67	68	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	13	-17	13.4	13.3	0.08	11.6	12.7	-1.15
Marc Gasol	45	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	12	-15	14.5	12.5	2.00	12.0	12.1	-0.01
Jordan Loyd	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	24.0	13.2	10.77	3.5	12.2	-8.71
Chris Boucher	9	9	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	17	-25	20.1	12.7	7.37	5.8	12.6	-6.81
Norman Powell	73	74	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	20	-31	13.9	12.3	1.63	11.7	12.6	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.33,0.22,0.15,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 88, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.78,0.92,1	91.7%
MIL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,1	90.9%
CHA 94, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.8,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.98,1,1,1,1	90.5%