NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	7.1 [433]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	3.1 [711]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.08
Charlie Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.02	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	14	59%	0.12	3	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	6	36%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	9	36%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Bobby Simmons	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.07	0.03	26	65%	0.33	4	-0.11	14	100%	0.10
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.01	11	67%	0.22	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	10	57%	-0.00	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	28.4	16.3	28.5	2.6	36.3	138.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.2%

LAL +21.5%

LAL +14.5%

MIL -7.3%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.6	99.0	104.1	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		104.6	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	13.4	17.5	15.3	15.1
LAL	12.8	16.0	13.8	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	38	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-10	15	14.7	15.4	-0.69	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Jermaine Jackson	18	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	0	-5	16.4	14.8	1.65	12.8	15.1	-2.27
Toni Kukoc	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.45	8	-13	21	14.8	15.5	-0.70	15.0	13.9	1.10
Andrew Bogut	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	8	-21	15.4	15.0	0.49	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Jamaal Magloire	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	8	-21	15.5	14.8	0.70	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Joe Smith	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-3	1	15.4	14.8	0.60	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Bobby Simmons	82	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-5	5	15.0	15.7	-0.67	15.2	12.1	3.11
Charlie Bell	90	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-6	7	15.2	13.6	1.65	15.0	10.9	4.11
Michael Redd	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.7	18.3	-3.58	14.6	14.5	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	72	71	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.24	16	-11	27	13.7	17.2	-3.47	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Lamar Odom	86	85	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-4	13	14.1	18.7	-4.67	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Kobe Bryant	87	88	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-9	23	14.7	13.3	1.44	15.2	14.0	1.22
Kwame Brown	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-7	19	14.3	15.6	-1.28	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Brian Cook	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	-13	31	13.7	15.2	-1.52	15.4	14.9	0.59
Devean George	34	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	15	-25	15.7	14.0	1.77	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Andrew Bynum	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	12	-19	16.1	14.3	1.86	15.4	15.0	0.37
Luke Walton	43	44	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.25	-14	19	-33	15.5	13.9	1.58	15.3	14.9	0.39
Sasha Vujacic	28	28	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.13	-13	18	-31	16.4	13.9	2.54	15.6	14.9	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 65, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.92,1	91.2%
DET 88, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.78,0.92,1	91.1%
WAS 120, TOR 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.33,0.22,0.15,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.97,1,1	90.9%