NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	6.3 [606]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +19.0%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.6 [1198]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -16.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	9	77%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	13	72%	0.24	6	-0.13	14	64%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.07	0.06	8	86%	0.20	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevon Duval	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sterling Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.02	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.00	-0.07	19	63%	0.23	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	60%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	10	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	0.08	21	41%	-0.11	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	26.6	14.0	33.2	1.8	29.0	129.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +54.2%

MIL +3.7%

CHI -5.9%

CHI -3.7%

MIL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.1	14.2	14.3	105.7	94.3	109.3
season	13.5	14.6		112.4	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	14.2	12.0	11.8	13.1
CHI	14.7	13.5	14.7	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	78	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.03	21	-8	29	12.7	14.1	-1.36	14.7	12.7	2.01
Malcolm Brogdon	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.00	17	-4	21	13.6	12.3	1.22	14.3	14.1	0.19
George Hill	39	35	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	1	11	13.1	13.1	-0.00	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Tony Snell	35	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	1	11	12.5	13.4	-0.92	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Pat Connaughton	16	17	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	8	-3	11.6	13.4	-1.82	14.9	14.1	0.81
Ersan Ilyasova	42	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	9	-5	13.8	12.7	1.13	12.9	15.0	-2.02
Khris Middleton	74	73	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	10	-7	12.5	14.4	-1.91	14.4	13.7	0.74
D.J. Wilson	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	11	-9	15.8	12.7	3.14	13.8	14.3	-0.48
Eric Bledsoe	65	67	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	15	-17	12.9	13.4	-0.47	14.1	14.4	-0.35
Trevon Duval	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	16.0	13.1	2.92	0.0	14.2	-14.20
Christian Wood	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	16.0	13.1	2.92	0.0	14.2	-14.20
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	18	-23	12.9	13.4	-0.56	14.5	13.7	0.81
Sterling Brown	34	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.05	-4	17	-21	14.3	12.6	1.71	14.0	14.3	-0.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	71	72	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-14	15	14.3	13.9	0.38	13.2	12.9	0.24
Robin Lopez	70	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-14	15	14.6	13.4	1.20	13.5	12.3	1.18
Zach LaVine	78	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-13	13	14.6	13.1	1.47	12.9	13.7	-0.76
Lauri Markkanen	82	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-8	3	14.6	12.9	1.70	13.0	13.5	-0.53
Otto Porter Jr.	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-4	-5	13.9	15.5	-1.60	12.9	14.0	-1.18
Wayne Selden	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	13.8	14.6	-0.79	13.3	12.9	0.35
Shaquille Harrison	24	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	12.9	14.6	-1.66	12.6	13.2	-0.61
Ryan Arcidiacono	34	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	1	-15	13.9	14.3	-0.38	12.9	13.2	-0.24
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	35	34	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	6	-25	13.9	14.3	-0.43	13.7	12.8	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
WAS 112, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
BOS 128, MEM 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%