NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	4.1 [1022]		MVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): +18.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Comeback	1.5 [281]		LVP	Troy Brown Jr. (WAS): -8.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	-0.00	0.11	20	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Jordan McRae	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.16	0.00	0.13	5	115%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	4	46%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.04	-0.04	16	65%	0.23	3	-0.04	8	25%	-0.09
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.05	0.09	15	82%	0.18	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	13	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	6	71%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Deng Adel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	25.4	14.8	26.0	2.0	39.2	131.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.6%

WAS -4.9%

CLE +15.2%

WAS -10.5%

WAS -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	12.2	16.0	14.3	110.8	113.7	109.3
season	13.8	15.5		109.8	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		116.5	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	12.4	14.7	9.3	12.2
CLE	15.9	15.8	17.2	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-21	39	7.6	13.6	-6.04	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Gary Payton II	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.48	16	-19	35	9.3	13.5	-4.22	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Sam Dekker	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.48	15	-18	33	9.7	13.6	-3.81	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Troy Brown Jr.	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.55	15	-18	33	8.8	13.7	-4.93	13.6	16.9	-3.36
Ian Mahinmi	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	5	-13	13.2	11.8	1.33	17.0	15.5	1.49
Chasson Randle	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	4	-11	13.6	11.9	1.64	14.2	16.4	-2.25
Thomas Bryant	56	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.58	12	-15	27	11.2	13.5	-2.36	14.5	17.6	-3.09
Jeff Green	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	6	-15	13.4	11.1	2.30	16.9	15.1	1.82
Otto Porter Jr.	48	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	14	-31	13.6	11.0	2.65	17.7	14.4	3.28
Trevor Ariza	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.09	-17	14	-31	14.0	10.2	3.81	16.3	15.7	0.57
Tomas Satoransky	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	13	-29	13.5	10.2	3.28	16.6	15.0	1.60
Bradley Beal	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	14	-31	13.6	9.4	4.18	16.8	14.0	2.81

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-3	9	15.3	18.2	-2.85	12.5	11.5	0.97
Alec Burks	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	15.3	18.1	-2.77	12.2	12.2	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	63	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	-5	13	14.7	18.2	-3.50	12.0	12.7	-0.72
Larry Nance Jr.	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-4	11	14.1	18.3	-4.22	12.3	12.2	0.06
Collin Sexton	62	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	2	-1	15.9	16.1	-0.22	12.2	12.3	-0.07
Rodney Hood	62	62	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.42	-7	10	-17	17.0	14.5	2.49	12.2	12.3	-0.13
Matthew Dellavedova	37	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	17.1	15.4	1.71	12.9	11.9	0.93
Ante Zizic	46	47	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	7	-11	18.3	14.1	4.22	12.2	12.3	-0.06
Deng Adel	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.15	-5	8	-13	19.2	14.7	4.49	11.6	12.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 88, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
TOR 101, DAL 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%