NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	8.2 [289]		MVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): +17.3%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	1.9 [815]		LVP	Stanley Johnson (DET): -11.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	16	57%	0.14	1	-0.06	8	62%	-0.05
Bruce Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Khyri Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	14	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.03	24	59%	0.17	6	-0.26	11	73%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	59%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.01	19	63%	0.21	4	-0.15	13	85%	0.03
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.02	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.00	5	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	31.6	15.3	26.7	2.3	33.7	134.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.9%

DET -15.1%

DET -6.7%

DAL +16.7%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	DAL	NBA	DET	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	14.3	107.4	114.0	109.3
season	15.3	14.7		107.5	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.0		109.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.5	18.7	13.2	14.8	15.5
DAL	15.2	14.0	15.6	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	35	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-16	27	14.9	15.8	-0.97	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Khyri Thomas	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	14.8	15.5	-0.71	16.5	15.3	1.22
Zaza Pachulia	20	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	0	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.09	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Reggie Jackson	69	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-13	21	15.3	15.9	-0.62	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Luke Kennard	33	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.25	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Langston Galloway	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	0	-5	16.6	15.0	1.53	14.3	15.7	-1.48
Reggie Bullock	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	15.6	15.2	0.44	15.4	15.2	0.25
Blake Griffin	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-7	9	15.1	17.4	-2.37	15.6	14.2	1.38
Jose Calderon	23	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	8	-21	16.4	15.2	1.28	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Andre Drummond	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-5	5	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.5	14.6	0.92
Stanley Johnson	43	43	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.20	-20	15	-35	15.8	15.2	0.55	16.0	14.8	1.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	40	42	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-5	15	15.7	15.1	0.60	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Devin Harris	34	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-10	25	15.8	15.1	0.68	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Luka Doncic	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	3	-1	15.0	16.2	-1.13	16.1	13.6	2.49
DeAndre Jordan	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.45	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.2	1.75	14.8	16.7	-1.85
Dorian Finney-Smith	33	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.03	12	-7	19	15.8	15.1	0.66	17.2	14.6	2.62
Dwight Powell	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	-6	17	13.9	16.3	-2.38	16.9	14.4	2.45
Harrison Barnes	69	70	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.40	-8	13	-21	15.4	15.1	0.28	14.9	17.2	-2.39
Dirk Nowitzki	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-1	7	14.3	15.6	-1.32	16.3	15.2	1.06
Dennis Smith Jr.	71	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.31	-7	12	-19	15.5	15.0	0.50	14.7	18.1	-3.42
Wesley Matthews	30	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	17	-29	15.4	15.3	0.15	14.6	15.9	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	92.7%
SAC 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	92.1%
BOS 98, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.9%