NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	4.8 [881]		MVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): +24.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	2.7 [790]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): -10.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justise Winslow	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.07	-0.02	18	71%	0.25	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
James Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	14	43%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	57%	-0.02	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Richardson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.01	20	64%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.05	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deng Adel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	0.08	9	65%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	11	27%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	26.4	0.2	23.9	2.3	33.7	112.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +13.7%

MIA +2.3%

MIA +16.3%

MIA +14.8%

MIA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	14.3	106.4	100.0	109.3
season	14.8	15.5		106.3	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		116.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.0	17.7	14.1	14.4	14.7
CLE	17.7	14.3	15.9	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	45	45	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-13	32	13.1	16.2	-3.13	17.6	14.4	3.19
Dwyane Wade	54	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-10	26	14.7	14.8	-0.05	15.6	16.4	-0.80
James Johnson	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-9	24	13.6	15.9	-2.29	16.4	15.3	1.11
Justise Winslow	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	3	0	14.0	17.2	-3.15	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Tyler Johnson	59	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-6	18	14.2	15.7	-1.59	16.7	14.4	2.36
Josh Richardson	73	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	4	-2	14.9	14.1	0.77	15.5	17.3	-1.80
Derrick Jones Jr.	43	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	13	-20	16.0	13.6	2.40	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Rodney McGruder	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	15	-24	18.1	14.0	4.05	16.7	15.7	0.96
Bam Adebayo	49	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	19	-32	16.2	13.1	3.13	14.4	17.6	-3.19
Kelly Olynyk	9	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	14	-22	16.6	14.6	2.00	13.1	16.2	-3.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaron Blossomgame	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-8	10	13.5	16.1	-2.56	22.5	14.2	8.28
Ante Zizic	57	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-13	20	15.4	16.7	-1.38	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Alec Burks	62	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-11	16	16.2	15.3	0.93	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Rodney Hood	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-8	10	16.7	14.6	2.06	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Collin Sexton	57	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-6	6	15.8	16.0	-0.22	13.6	16.3	-2.72
Matthew Dellavedova	37	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	0	-6	16.0	15.8	0.22	16.3	13.6	2.72
Deng Adel	27	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	5	-16	15.0	16.3	-1.31	15.4	14.5	0.92
Jordan Clarkson	50	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	6	-18	16.1	15.7	0.36	15.4	13.9	1.58
Larry Nance Jr.	37	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	7	-20	16.7	15.4	1.38	16.1	13.8	2.36
Cedi Osman	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	15.5	18.0	-2.54	14.3	16.7	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
CLE 113, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SAC 94, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%