NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	5.0 [843]		MVP	Darius Miller (NOP): +10.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Comeback	1.4 [1196]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -10.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	17	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	12	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	12	54%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.02	0.08	19	56%	0.01	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	77%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	18	59%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	19	50%	0.06	4	-0.06	8	50%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	24.6	15.3	24.4	2.5	28.6	120.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +27.1%

NOP -1.4%

OKC +20.9%

OKC +2.9%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	13.3	13.1	14.3	106.4	111.9	109.3
season	13.4	12.9		110.2	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.2		106.4	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.9	15.4	15.4	11.0	13.3
OKC	12.9	12.3	13.4	13.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	39	41	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.24	9	-15	24	13.0	13.5	-0.45	13.8	12.7	1.15
Cheick Diallo	51	55	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-21	36	12.1	14.4	-2.24	13.3	12.9	0.33
Frank Jackson	59	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-18	30	12.2	14.7	-2.49	13.0	13.3	-0.36
Ian Clark	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	5	-16	16.1	12.9	3.19	10.7	13.5	-2.83
Elfrid Payton	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	1	-8	13.9	12.4	1.55	13.9	12.0	1.86
Solomon Hill	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	13.4	13.1	0.24	13.7	11.3	2.37
Jrue Holiday	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	4	-14	13.2	13.5	-0.29	12.7	14.5	-1.83
Jahlil Okafor	58	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	15	-36	14.4	12.1	2.24	12.9	13.3	-0.33
Darius Miller	88	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.12	-15	9	-24	13.3	13.4	-0.14	12.6	15.1	-2.48

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	83	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-8	22	13.0	13.6	-0.61	13.6	12.5	1.12
Steven Adams	81	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-8	22	12.9	13.6	-0.72	13.5	12.7	0.81
Terrance Ferguson	82	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-9	24	12.6	14.7	-2.17	13.3	13.3	-0.03
Jerami Grant	80	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-5	16	12.3	15.2	-2.90	13.4	13.1	0.23
Paul George	87	87	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	4	-2	12.8	14.3	-1.51	13.2	13.8	-0.63
Patrick Patterson	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	11	-16	15.2	12.3	2.90	13.1	13.4	-0.23
Dennis Schroder	49	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	10	-14	14.0	12.4	1.58	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Nerlens Noel	28	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	14	-22	13.6	12.9	0.72	12.7	13.5	-0.81
Abdel Nader	26	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	15	-24	14.7	12.6	2.03	13.0	13.4	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.6%
CLE 78, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MEM 79, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%