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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 114 Excitement9.3 [147] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +58.1%
New York Knicks 110 Comeback4.4 [603] LVPFrank Ntilikina (NYK): -17.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.580,0,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.35,0.580.240.350.013860%0.715-0.132588%0.16
Eric Gordon0.470,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.470.070.39-0.011561%0.572-0.10333%-0.02
Gerald Green0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00839%0.0100.002100%0.01
Gary Clark-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Ennis III-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.030.01-0.050.00557%-0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011142%0.012-0.07425%-0.05
PJ Tucker-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01530%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allonzo Trier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.540.540.200.33-0.001876%0.643-0.115100%0.04
Mitchell Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.030.005100%0.1500.002100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.10-0.050.011657%0.0300.005100%0.04
Damyean Dotson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00567%0.092-0.102100%0.02
Lance Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03-0.030.01-0.040.00756%0.152-0.18450%-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.24,-0.04-0.04-0.080.050.01958%0.197-0.24683%0.09
Kevin Knox0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.011535%-0.091-0.03450%-0.01
Frank Ntilikina0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.05-0.0050%-0.122-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.430.315.426.62.440.2147.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +16.0%
NYK -3.2%
NYK -7.8%
HOU +39.6%
HOU +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNYKNBAHOUNYKNBA
this game14.414.414.3114.0110.0109.3
season14.814.5114.0103.8
opponent14.114.4112.5109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.513.114.813.114.4
NYK11.615.119.512.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden82840.81-0.311.120.2519-153414.414.30.0314.414.5-0.07
PJ Tucker79810.70-0.200.900.3213-92214.115.5-1.4114.813.11.71
Gerald Green58570.480.020.450.219-51413.615.4-1.7615.013.71.30
Kenneth Faried54510.240.26-0.020.018-41215.513.02.4815.313.51.82
Eric Gordon79790.220.28-0.050.43-711-1814.115.2-1.1114.215.4-1.19
Austin Rivers72710.110.39-0.280.26-59-1414.713.51.2414.514.40.04
James Ennis III57570.040.46-0.420.42-1317-3013.914.9-0.9613.715.4-1.76
Gary Clark1920-0.100.60-0.700.02-48-1215.514.11.3712.414.9-2.55

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Robinson35350.24-0.740.97-0.1212-162814.814.20.5514.714.20.50
Allonzo Trier69700.12-0.620.74-0.4419-234213.815.8-1.9814.115.1-1.01
Frank Ntilikina48480.11-0.610.73-0.128-122015.213.81.4014.314.4-0.09
Damyean Dotson5453-0.04-0.460.42-0.4815-193414.114.9-0.8013.615.3-1.69
Lance Thomas2828-0.50-0.00-0.490.06-1915-3416.113.82.2715.613.91.73
Kevin Knox6665-0.520.02-0.53-0.05-1612-2814.913.61.2515.312.72.62
Emmanuel Mudiay6161-0.530.03-0.55-0.20-117-1814.414.5-0.1214.114.8-0.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.7475-0.660.16-0.81-0.30-128-2013.916.1-2.2614.214.9-0.69
Noah Vonleh6565-0.740.24-0.97-0.27-1612-2814.214.8-0.5514.214.7-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 105, CHI 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,092.7%
PHI 90, MIL 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.03,0.02,091.9%
DEN 103, SEA 930.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.36,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.05,0,091.6%