NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	3.5 [1111]		MVP	Danny Green (TOR): +13.6%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	1.2 [1222]		LVP	Justin Holiday (MEM): -12.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jevon Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.00	-0.10	7	43%	0.06	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	12	55%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	8	78%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	10	33%	-0.03	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	0.04	8	44%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.24	0.01	0.12	13	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	-0.06	12	46%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	61%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.01	0.10	7	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	8	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	24%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	29.9	14.8	25.5	2.5	22.2	119.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.9%

TOR +11.2%

MEM -0.4%

TOR +20.2%

TOR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	14.3	92.8	121.4	109.3
season	15.4	14.3		105.4	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.2		105.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.7	13.8	16.1	15.5	15.6
TOR	14.4	11.9	15.2	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuta Watanabe	36	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-25	21	14.4	16.4	-2.03	14.5	13.6	0.94
Jevon Carter	54	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.28	-15	-14	-1	14.7	16.8	-2.03	13.7	14.2	-0.46
Ivan Rabb	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.31	-17	-12	-5	14.8	16.3	-1.46	14.3	13.5	0.83
Omri Casspi	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.39	-20	-9	-11	14.9	16.8	-1.89	13.3	14.8	-1.43
Justin Holiday	58	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-29	29	16.5	14.3	2.18	14.1	13.5	0.63
Mike Conley	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.12	-13	-16	3	16.3	15.0	1.31	14.3	13.6	0.66
Jaren Jackson Jr.	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-18	7	16.3	14.6	1.66	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Shelvin Mack	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.44	-27	-2	-25	14.9	16.6	-1.73	13.2	14.8	-1.57
JaMychal Green	22	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-13	-3	18.9	14.7	4.23	15.8	13.2	2.59
Garrett Temple	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-7	-15	16.1	15.1	0.92	13.4	14.5	-1.03

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	58	56	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.63	40	-11	51	13.6	14.4	-0.87	16.5	14.5	1.99
Kyle Lowry	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.65	38	-9	47	13.4	14.7	-1.22	15.9	15.2	0.71
Fred VanVleet	51	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	3	23	14.5	13.2	1.34	16.6	14.7	1.93
Danny Green	44	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.27	22	7	15	15.1	12.9	2.15	16.7	14.8	1.86
Serge Ibaka	50	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.33	21	8	13	14.7	13.1	1.62	17.0	14.3	2.69
Norman Powell	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	20	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.35	14.7	16.3	-1.64
Delon Wright	48	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	22	-15	13.4	14.4	-1.04	14.7	16.6	-1.99
Patrick McCaw	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	36	-43	13.4	14.2	-0.84	14.9	16.1	-1.27
CJ Miles	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	33	-37	13.4	14.2	-0.88	14.8	16.2	-1.45
Greg Monroe	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.20	7	22	-15	12.7	14.3	-1.60	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Chris Boucher	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	35	-41	15.0	13.6	1.35	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Malachi Richardson	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	14.3	13.9	0.47	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Jordan Loyd	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	14.3	13.9	0.47	15.2	15.7	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 70, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 82, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%