NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	3.2 [1110]		MVP	Troy Hudson (ORL): +10.7%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.1 [704]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -17.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	7	81%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	18	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	6	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	9	30%	-0.04	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	8	20%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.04	12	70%	0.12	3	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	16	65%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.10	4	36%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	31.2	16.5	24.4	2.4	25.6	128.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.1%

ORL +14.6%

ORL +1.9%

DAL -3.7%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.6	90.6	121.5	102.3
season	14.8	14.6		109.6	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	14.6	17.0	13.9	15.2
ORL	17.0	14.8	12.2	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	12.5	15.6	-3.12	18.4	14.9	3.55
Danny Manning	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-23	20	14.0	15.7	-1.69	15.9	15.0	0.87
Eduardo Najera	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.30	-13	-13	0	17.1	14.2	2.90	13.6	16.2	-2.64
Johnny Newman	66	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-16	6	15.0	15.4	-0.35	16.1	13.6	2.45
Wang Zhi-zhi	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-20	14	14.0	16.1	-2.14	15.6	15.1	0.58
Tim Hardaway	57	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-15	4	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.6	15.0	0.59
Adrian Griffin	32	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-13	0	14.9	15.3	-0.42	15.5	15.2	0.24
Dirk Nowitzki	48	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-9	-8	14.9	15.4	-0.44	15.7	14.9	0.81
Juwan Howard	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-9	-8	15.8	13.5	2.27	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Greg Buckner	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.19	-21	-5	-16	16.3	14.4	1.88	13.6	16.5	-2.95
Steve Nash	48	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	-6	-14	15.2	15.1	0.19	15.1	15.5	-0.37

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.36	29	-3	32	14.3	17.8	-3.51	15.8	13.7	2.05
Mike Miller	49	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.49	33	-7	40	14.6	16.1	-1.50	15.9	14.2	1.67
Horace Grant	50	53	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.31	24	2	22	14.7	16.0	-1.35	15.5	14.7	0.79
Tracy McGrady	61	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	6	14	14.5	16.8	-2.27	15.6	14.3	1.22
Darrell Armstrong	41	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	8	10	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.9	14.5	1.38
Andrew DeClercq	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	26	-26	17.1	14.3	2.79	14.1	15.7	-1.67
Troy Hudson	60	60	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	20	-14	15.4	15.1	0.31	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Monty Williams	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	20	-14	16.2	14.4	1.78	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Jud Buechler	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	27	-28	17.0	14.7	2.31	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Steven Hunter	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	31	-36	20.7	14.5	6.23	9.7	15.9	-6.27
Don Reid	17	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	26	-26	13.4	15.8	-2.41	17.7	14.6	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 82, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MEM 90, TOR 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 83, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%