NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	8.3 [266]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +12.4%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	4.3 [667]		LVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): -25.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.04	0.02	6	87%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.07	0.02	17	53%	0.23	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.03
Bruce Brown	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Khyri Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	15	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	17	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	9	40%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.09	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.05
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	21	55%	0.06	4	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	-0.00	6	12%	-0.16	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.2	14.8	24.7	1.8	38.6	134.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.1%

UTA +7.4%

UTA +23.8%

DET -2.6%

UTA +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	14.3	94.0	100.0	109.3
season	15.3	14.3		107.5	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.0		105.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.1	14.2	16.0	15.2	15.1
UTA	13.2	12.9	15.3	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-8	10	13.1	15.8	-2.67	13.5	13.8	-0.23
Langston Galloway	44	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-12	18	14.3	15.7	-1.44	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Luke Kennard	52	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-8	10	14.2	16.1	-1.93	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Ish Smith	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.29	6	-12	18	16.4	14.4	2.06	14.2	13.4	0.73
Jon Leuer	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-6	6	14.1	15.5	-1.43	13.7	13.7	0.07
Bruce Brown	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	1	-8	16.1	14.7	1.36	15.2	13.1	2.05
Reggie Bullock	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	15.8	14.3	1.52	13.9	13.5	0.34
Khyri Thomas	20	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	2	-10	16.0	14.9	1.12	12.3	14.0	-1.71
Andre Drummond	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	0	-6	15.5	14.1	1.43	13.7	13.7	-0.07
Reggie Jackson	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	6	-18	14.4	16.4	-2.06	13.4	14.2	-0.73
Blake Griffin	73	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.8	13.1	2.67	13.8	13.5	0.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	73	74	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.33	20	-14	34	13.6	13.9	-0.31	15.6	13.7	1.85
Donovan Mitchell	73	74	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.33	20	-14	34	13.6	13.9	-0.31	15.6	13.7	1.85
Georges Niang	17	18	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-6	18	12.5	14.0	-1.48	15.9	14.9	0.96
Kyle Korver	67	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	2	2	13.7	13.7	-0.04	14.8	15.7	-0.96
Royce O'Neale	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	3	0	13.9	13.5	0.42	15.3	14.8	0.51
Grayson Allen	42	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	9	-12	13.5	13.8	-0.26	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Joe Ingles	63	64	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	12	-18	13.7	13.6	0.12	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Jae Crowder	59	58	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	18	-30	13.4	14.1	-0.63	14.9	15.4	-0.44
Derrick Favors	51	50	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	14	-22	14.5	12.8	1.69	14.3	15.9	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.4,0.29,0.33,0.63,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.95,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	91.6%
GSW 106, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	90.9%
HOU 110, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	90.9%