NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	7.6 [275]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +19.5%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	2.8 [928]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -20.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Slater	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	10	64%	0.16	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Doug Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	13	54%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	19	45%	0.01	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	9	43%	-0.12	1	-0.05	10	40%	-0.08
John Wallace	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	11	32%	-0.15	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	12	72%	0.24	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.06
Dennis Rodman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	23	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	21	38%	-0.09	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.4	23.6	15.6	27.2	2.4	28.6	130.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +3.7%

TOR -4.4%

CHI +27.9%

CHI +22.0%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.6	88.7	95.9	102.5
season	15.5	16.2		98.7	105.8
opponent	15.8	14.8		97.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.8	15.3	16.1	14.0	14.7
CHI	13.9	16.0	15.2	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	71	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-5	3	15.2	13.6	1.54	15.0	14.8	0.18
Marcus Camby	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	15.2	14.1	1.16	14.7	15.3	-0.68
Oliver Miller	67	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	6	-19	16.2	11.4	4.79	15.1	14.6	0.54
Damon Stoudamire	87	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	0	-7	14.5	16.6	-2.07	15.2	12.6	2.64
John Wallace	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-2	-3	13.4	17.1	-3.70	14.1	16.6	-2.47
Doug Christie	79	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	1	-9	15.0	13.5	1.53	14.7	15.8	-1.14

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-3	13	15.1	14.4	0.76	15.0	13.9	1.08
Jason Caffey	43	40	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	16.1	14.1	2.01	13.8	15.4	-1.56
Randy Brown	52	50	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	15.6	14.2	1.31	13.3	16.2	-2.89
Luc Longley	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	14.6	15.8	-1.23	15.8	11.6	4.29
Toni Kukoc	47	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	4	-1	14.6	15.3	-0.68	13.7	15.8	-2.13
Dennis Rodman	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	4	-1	14.2	16.2	-1.98	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Ron Harper	49	51	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	14.1	15.9	-1.79	15.6	13.8	1.87
Michael Jordan	68	68	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	6	-5	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.4	13.2	2.14
Scott Burrell	19	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	11	-15	16.0	14.7	1.31	13.3	15.1	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.84,1	92.0%
CHI 104, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.89,1,1	92.0%
TOR 124, SAS 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	91.8%