NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	2.8 [1209]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +11.2%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	1.4 [912]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): -8.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.17	0.00	0.09	6	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.08	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	0%	-0.04
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	10	58%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	18	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	7	19%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	11	82%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	8	89%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	19	66%	0.15	9	-0.07	27	78%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	9	73%	0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	32.8	14.6	29.5	3.4	30.4	137.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.7%

HOU +3.8%

HOU +4.3%

HOU +2.8%

HOU +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	15.5	14.3	104.1	115.3	109.3
season	15.4	14.8		105.4	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.2		109.3	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	14.3	14.5	10.8	14.0
HOU	15.3	14.5	15.5	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	20.2	13.7	6.52	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Dillon Brooks	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-19	26	11.8	15.6	-3.84	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Jaren Jackson Jr.	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-9	6	15.8	13.4	2.48	15.8	15.4	0.38
Joakim Noah	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-10	8	13.5	14.1	-0.59	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Shelvin Mack	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-12	12	15.6	13.4	2.15	13.6	16.3	-2.68
Jevon Carter	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-5	-2	12.1	14.2	-2.15	15.6	15.5	0.12
Wayne Selden	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-5	-2	16.6	13.7	2.82	12.9	15.8	-2.91
Omri Casspi	32	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-12	12	14.6	13.7	0.93	14.6	16.0	-1.35
JaMychal Green	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	14.8	13.4	1.45	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Garrett Temple	53	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-3	-6	14.0	14.0	-0.04	16.3	14.7	1.67
Mike Conley	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	13.5	15.6	-2.06	15.9	14.2	1.72
Marc Gasol	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	13.9	14.4	-0.54	16.0	14.1	1.93
Kyle Anderson	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	3	-18	13.7	15.2	-1.44	15.9	14.0	1.90

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	77	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-9	30	16.1	13.6	2.49	13.9	14.3	-0.43
James Harden	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-9	30	15.9	13.6	2.28	14.2	12.9	1.34
PJ Tucker	75	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-8	28	16.2	13.4	2.74	14.0	14.1	-0.18
Gerald Green	46	48	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.20	23	-11	34	16.4	14.7	1.70	15.2	12.8	2.47
Austin Rivers	86	82	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	11	-10	15.9	13.2	2.69	13.2	18.2	-4.97
Danuel House Jr.	59	58	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	13	-14	14.4	17.3	-2.95	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Brandon Knight	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	21	-30	13.7	16.1	-2.34	14.1	14.0	0.18
Gary Clark	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	19	-26	13.7	16.0	-2.31	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Nene	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.24	-9	21	-30	13.6	16.1	-2.49	14.3	13.9	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, OKC 108	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAC 90, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 74, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%