NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	126		Excitement	8.3 [277]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +38.5%
Washington Wizards	130		Comeback	2.0 [481]		LVP	Willy Hernangomez (CHA): -16.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.39	0.34	0.13	0.08	29	71%	0.42	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	6	85%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	6	79%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Malik Monk	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	12	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	6	57%	0.00	6	-0.16	2	100%	-0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.13	0.02	13	72%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.14	0.00	11	71%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	17	63%	0.32	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	19	44%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.8	28.2	14.8	27.4	0.7	42.6	139.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.6%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +13.8%

WAS +6.5%

CHA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	13.2	14.6	14.3	122.3	125.0	109.3
season	14.6	13.8		110.4	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.0	16.1	13.0	11.2	13.2
WAS	16.3	13.9	13.7	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	47	49	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-15	26	12.9	13.5	-0.60	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Willy Hernangomez	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-3	2	12.8	13.4	-0.54	14.5	14.6	-0.04
Malik Monk	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	4	-12	13.9	12.8	1.10	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	57	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	8	-20	13.8	12.6	1.18	14.7	14.4	0.37
Jeremy Lamb	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-3	2	14.0	12.0	1.93	15.1	13.6	1.53
Marvin Williams	77	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-6	8	13.2	13.5	-0.34	14.7	14.2	0.44
Cody Zeller	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	12.6	14.0	-1.42	14.0	15.2	-1.22
Kemba Walker	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	13.1	13.7	-0.55	14.6	14.6	0.00
Nicolas Batum	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.43	-5	1	-6	12.8	14.6	-1.80	14.3	15.6	-1.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	82	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	1	2	14.9	13.4	1.48	13.2	13.5	-0.29
Trevor Ariza	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	1	2	14.8	13.2	1.57	13.1	13.7	-0.60
Bradley Beal	85	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	3	-2	14.3	16.0	-1.74	12.5	16.4	-3.92
Thomas Bryant	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	4	-4	14.5	14.7	-0.15	12.8	14.6	-1.84
Tomas Satoransky	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	14.3	15.1	-0.75	12.4	15.3	-2.95
Chasson Randle	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	0	4	14.7	14.5	0.13	14.6	12.6	2.01
Sam Dekker	47	45	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	-1	6	14.4	14.7	-0.35	14.6	12.2	2.33
Troy Brown Jr.	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	0	4	14.7	14.5	0.25	15.2	12.2	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.95,1,1,1	93.2%
IND 87, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.93,0.96,1,1	92.2%
NOK 94, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1	91.9%