NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	11.6 [39]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +33.4%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	11.9 [96]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -28.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.33	0.01	0.32	-0.00	20	48%	0.35	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Seth Curry	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.12	-0.03	7	79%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,0.18,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	22	47%	0.19	2	-0.12	7	100%	0.05
Nik Stauskas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.12	0.07	-0.18	0.01	18	61%	0.08	4	-0.19	8	87%	0.04
Zach Collins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	6	7%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	13	27%	-0.18	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.23	0.23	-0.03	0.26	-0.00	15	50%	0.30	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.2,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.10	0.00	23	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	0.02	19	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.21	0.01	26	53%	-0.01	7	-0.28	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.0	25.1	14.8	28.3	2.4	35.2	2.6	9.8	145.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +0.2%

POR +33.5%

POR +17.1%

GSW -9.7%

POR +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	13.3	14.3	100.0	98.2	109.3
season	14.9	13.4		112.6	114.5
opponent	15.0	13.9		108.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.8	14.0	15.3	17.8	16.1	15.5
GSW	15.2	13.1	12.4	12.2	13.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	3	-5	15.3	15.9	-0.58	13.2	13.4	-0.12
Maurice Harkless	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	-2	5	15.1	16.1	-1.01	13.1	13.6	-0.51
CJ McCollum	83	84	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	0	1	15.0	16.9	-1.89	12.9	14.6	-1.72
Evan Turner	37	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	5	-9	16.9	14.8	2.14	13.8	13.0	0.82
Damian Lillard	84	85	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.3	0.20	13.5	12.6	0.88
Meyers Leonard	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-2	5	15.7	15.4	0.33	13.7	13.1	0.66
Zach Collins	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-2	5	15.9	15.3	0.52	14.1	12.9	1.18
Nik Stauskas	27	26	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	-1	3	15.4	15.5	-0.12	12.6	13.5	-0.88
Seth Curry	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	-1	3	15.9	15.3	0.59	13.4	13.2	0.12
Jusuf Nurkic	73	74	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	3	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.39	13.1	13.7	-0.66

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-6	11	13.8	12.8	0.95	16.1	15.0	1.15
Draymond Green	86	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.40	10	-11	21	12.9	14.6	-1.64	15.8	14.5	1.31
Quinn Cook	4	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	4	-9	21.2	13.0	8.26	11.4	15.7	-4.30
Alfonzo McKinnie	4	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	4	-9	21.2	13.0	8.26	11.4	15.7	-4.30
Jordan Bell	3	2	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	4	-9	12.7	13.3	-0.64	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Andre Iguodala	57	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-9	17	13.1	13.4	-0.30	16.3	14.7	1.56
Klay Thompson	82	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-6	11	13.2	13.4	-0.22	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Shaun Livingston	33	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	6	-13	13.3	13.3	0.06	15.8	15.4	0.47
Kevon Looney	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	8	-17	13.7	12.9	0.85	14.6	16.6	-2.01
Kevin Durant	85	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-2	3	13.5	12.6	0.88	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Stephen Curry	93	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	2	-5	12.4	18.1	-5.69	15.5	15.6	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.22,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.87,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.3,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0	90.1%
ATL 99, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.39,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.16,0	88.1%
LAL 92, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.42,0	88.1%