NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	6.0 [651]		MVP	Clint Capela (HOU): +16.1%
Houston Rockets	127		Comeback	1.2 [741]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -6.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	13	70%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Marcus Morris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	12	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.01	14	67%	0.19	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.06	-0.04	8	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.02	16	54%	0.11	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.19	-0.02	0.13	26	65%	0.18	6	-0.14	17	82%	-0.02
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.3	28.4	14.7	29.1	2.5	34.5	136.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.8%

HOU +5.6%

HOU +18.8%

BOS -2.8%

BOS -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.9	14.3	116.5	129.6	109.3
season	13.9	14.8		109.9	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	14.6	13.7	12.0	13.7
HOU	14.8	18.8	15.1	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Guerschon Yabusele	9	9	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.07	3	-17	20	13.0	13.7	-0.74	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Marcus Smart	66	68	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-18	22	12.6	16.0	-3.47	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Semi Ojeleye	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-14	14	8.8	14.2	-5.43	16.0	15.8	0.16
Kyrie Irving	72	75	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-20	26	13.2	15.0	-1.74	16.6	13.5	3.05
Al Horford	48	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-24	34	12.5	14.8	-2.23	17.3	14.3	2.91
Marcus Morris	57	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-17	20	14.1	13.0	1.10	16.6	14.8	1.76
Jayson Tatum	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-2	-10	13.5	14.0	-0.50	15.1	17.1	-1.95
Gordon Hayward	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	5	-24	14.6	12.8	1.85	14.8	16.9	-2.05
Terry Rozier	30	28	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	2	-18	14.8	13.2	1.59	15.9	15.8	0.10
Jaylen Brown	49	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.03	-22	8	-30	14.4	12.9	1.57	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Daniel Theis	37	34	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.15	-27	13	-40	15.9	12.3	3.68	14.5	16.6	-2.12

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	44	44	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.03	24	-10	34	15.1	16.4	-1.31	15.2	12.4	2.81
Nene	19	21	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.07	25	-11	36	13.5	16.4	-2.96	16.6	12.9	3.76
Eric Gordon	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	2	10	15.5	16.8	-1.24	13.5	14.2	-0.66
Austin Rivers	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	0	14	16.4	14.7	1.70	13.8	13.5	0.25
Danuel House Jr.	60	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	4	6	14.5	18.1	-3.59	13.9	13.3	0.69
James Harden	79	78	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	11	-8	16.5	13.3	3.15	13.1	15.9	-2.83
PJ Tucker	72	71	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	21	-28	16.6	13.8	2.79	13.2	15.0	-1.76
Clint Capela	79	76	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	25	-36	16.4	13.5	2.96	12.9	16.6	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
WAS 82, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
NJN 76, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%