NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	8.3 [270]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +50.4%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	2.5 [536]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -20.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.49,0.49,0.5	0.18	0.35	0.03	14	76%	0.53	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.10	-0.00	8	85%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	11	65%	0.11	5	-0.23	4	75%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.15	0.03	11	75%	0.30	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.04
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.18	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	0.00	12	47%	0.12	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	9	54%	-0.00	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.18	-0.00	6	62%	-0.02	1	-0.12	4	25%	-0.16
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	8	19%	-0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	28.6	14.7	26.0	2.5	35.5	133.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.0%

IND +8.3%

BKN -22.4%

IND +32.6%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.3	116.3	108.2	109.3
season	14.5	14.3		108.4	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.6		109.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	14.4	16.5	13.8	14.8
BKN	13.7	14.4	14.8	15.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	73	75	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-9	26	15.3	13.2	2.05	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	3	2	14.9	14.2	0.71	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Thaddeus Young	65	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	1	6	15.4	13.5	1.93	13.7	16.4	-2.72
Darren Collison	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-1	10	16.2	12.5	3.70	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Victor Oladipo	71	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-2	12	15.6	12.6	2.95	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Doug McDermott	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	13.2	16.0	-2.86	16.1	13.5	2.58
Cory Joseph	40	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	12.6	16.2	-3.57	15.7	13.9	1.82
Aaron Holiday	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	10	-12	12.6	15.6	-2.95	15.2	14.4	0.78
Domantas Sabonis	38	39	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.06	-9	17	-26	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.4	14.1	1.31

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	41	40	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-10	12	16.3	13.4	2.96	13.8	15.4	-1.55
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-4	0	14.2	14.9	-0.69	15.8	14.0	1.74
Jarrett Allen	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-6	4	13.7	16.0	-2.25	15.9	13.0	2.88
Joe Harris	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	13.9	16.0	-2.14	15.8	12.8	3.01
Ed Davis	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	16.0	13.7	2.25	13.0	15.9	-2.88
D'Angelo Russell	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	14.9	14.3	0.66	14.2	15.4	-1.26
Jared Dudley	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	14.9	14.2	0.69	14.0	15.8	-1.74
Spencer Dinwiddie	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-5	2	14.4	15.1	-0.69	14.4	15.5	-1.14
Rodions Kurucs	70	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-2	-4	14.3	15.5	-1.18	15.1	13.8	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.32,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.15,0	91.1%
POR 82, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.0%
MEM 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.05,0	89.9%