inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 98 Excitement6.8 [518] MVPMonte Morris (DEN): +12.6%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback1.2 [636] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -20.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.012459%0.253-0.14683%0.02
Patrick Patterson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nerlens Noel-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terrance Ferguson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.02-0.0010%-0.0200.0020%-0.05
Jerami Grant-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.001150%0.011-0.034100%0.02
Hamidou Diallo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.021-0.0220%-0.03
Steven Adams-0.040,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.07-0.080.032057%0.021-0.05633%-0.02
Alex Abrines-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.001333%-0.082-0.04757%-0.01
Russell Westbrook-0.210,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21-0.10-0.100.011541%-0.084-0.122100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.04-0.011164%0.1300.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.010.037107%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.030.04973%0.1100.004100%0.02
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.003100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.01-0.04743%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Thomas Welsh00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tyler Lydon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.011663%0.156-0.186100%0.03
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.010.001041%0.013-0.10250%-0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.040.021558%0.035-0.133100%0.01
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.0050%-0.092-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.427.215.531.63.439.2146.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +56.7%
DEN +0.0%
OKC -1.1%
OKC -7.5%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game14.215.514.3100.0113.5109.3
season12.914.8108.9112.0
opponent14.614.9108.1106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.513.812.914.814.2
DEN15.215.014.817.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot100.00-0.500.500.000-111112.014.2-2.200.015.5-15.53
Abdel Nader100.00-0.500.500.000-111112.014.2-2.200.015.5-15.53
Patrick Patterson1313-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-10913.114.3-1.2614.215.7-1.59
Terrance Ferguson4746-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-121313.814.5-0.6616.814.32.53
Hamidou Diallo97-0.10-0.400.310.05-5-6114.314.20.1812.115.8-3.65
Nerlens Noel2322-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-4-314.314.10.1714.415.9-1.46
Alex Abrines3735-0.25-0.250.00-0.22-1-10914.613.90.7216.714.91.82
Steven Adams7574-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-7314.114.3-0.1715.914.41.46
Jerami Grant7071-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.08-9-2-714.513.41.1415.415.9-0.47
Russell Westbrook7475-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-9-2-714.014.8-0.8215.515.6-0.05
Paul George8079-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.15-7-4-314.313.60.6915.615.20.43
Dennis Schroder6058-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.09-132-1514.114.2-0.0614.617.0-2.43

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monte Morris55560.450.050.400.131101115.415.7-0.2613.814.6-0.78
Torrey Craig72730.380.120.260.1292715.416.0-0.6813.715.6-1.92
Juancho Hernangomez67680.380.120.25-0.0414-31715.814.90.9114.313.80.49
Trey Lyles62620.360.140.210.2738-515.116.4-1.3213.814.8-1.00
Nikola Jokic73730.320.180.150.03101915.515.6-0.0414.214.10.13
Jamal Murray66660.200.30-0.100.0847-315.315.9-0.5814.613.21.42
Nick Young17180.170.33-0.150.0647-314.915.7-0.7214.714.00.67
Malik Beasley31320.130.37-0.250.13011-1115.615.50.1214.314.10.21
Mason Plumlee37380.110.39-0.280.11011-1116.914.72.1715.213.51.61
Thomas Welsh020.010.49-0.480.01011-110.015.5-15.537.514.3-6.81
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell010.000.50-0.500.00011-110.015.5-15.5312.014.2-2.20
Tyler Lydon010.000.50-0.500.00011-110.015.5-15.5312.014.2-2.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 86, LAC 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.96,0.99,194.3%
PHX 98, GSW 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.99,1,1,194.0%
PHX 129, MIA 1350.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,193.3%