NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	129		Excitement	9.0 [185]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +36.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	126		Comeback	4.2 [277]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (NOP): -12.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.36	0.10	0.27	0.01	12	69%	0.41	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.08
Danilo Gallinari	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.23	0.15	0.09	0.01	13	71%	0.23	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Tobias Harris	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	16	71%	0.26	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Patrick Beverley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Mike Scott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.06	9	44%	-0.16
Avery Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.13	-0.00	12	62%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.16	0.00	8	71%	0.28	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.24	-0.05	0.01	24	67%	0.17	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	18	57%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.09
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.09,0.2,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.06	-0.00	23	62%	0.20	1	-0.11	6	67%	-0.07
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	2	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	28.6	15.4	25.6	1.6	40.4	137.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.4%

LAC +23.7%

NOP -0.4%

NOP -8.5%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	14.3	129.0	126.0	109.3
season	13.9	13.4		111.3	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.5	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	14.7	19.4	14.0	15.3
NOP	11.6	13.5	14.9	14.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	74	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	15.7	14.2	1.50	13.0	14.5	-1.49
Lou Williams	48	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-11	25	14.4	16.2	-1.74	14.0	12.9	1.16
Danilo Gallinari	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	6	-9	15.9	14.3	1.62	13.2	13.9	-0.74
Montrezl Harrell	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	1	1	14.9	15.9	-0.95	13.7	13.1	0.58
Avery Bradley	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.44	-9	12	-21	16.2	14.1	2.11	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Marcin Gortat	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	2	-1	15.9	14.9	0.95	13.4	13.5	-0.07
Patrick Beverley	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	4	-5	14.2	16.2	-1.99	13.9	13.1	0.78
Tyrone Wallace	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	3	-3	13.7	15.8	-2.09	13.8	13.3	0.45
Mike Scott	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	-3	9	14.3	15.9	-1.62	13.9	13.2	0.74
Sindarius Thornwell	0	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	15.3	-15.34	1.5	13.7	-12.20
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	48	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	4	-5	16.4	14.3	2.07	13.2	13.7	-0.51

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	79	80	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.05	7	-10	17	14.1	10.9	3.23	15.6	14.1	1.55
Jrue Holiday	88	87	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-13	23	13.2	15.5	-2.32	15.7	12.7	3.04
Anthony Davis	80	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-8	13	13.5	13.1	0.45	15.6	14.2	1.46
Tim Frazier	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	13.7	13.1	0.53	15.7	14.8	0.91
E'Twaun Moore	43	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	5	-13	13.6	13.4	0.21	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Solomon Hill	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.1	14.0	-0.86	16.0	14.4	1.53
Darius Miller	53	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	5	-13	13.5	13.5	-0.02	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Wesley Johnson	38	37	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	8	-19	12.6	14.0	-1.42	14.3	16.0	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.65,0.69,0.45,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.23,0.31,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.28,0	91.9%
PHI 93, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.22,0.15,0	91.0%
POR 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.27,0	90.9%